Design And Implementation Of Film Shooting Risk Prediction System

With the development of the national economy,film has become an important part of people’s cultural life,but film shooting has a great risk.There were about 103 movies issued in the first half of 2012,but only 10 movies made profits.We can see that film shooting risk prediction being not accurate is an important factor hindering the development of the film industry.This paper has designed and implemented a system.This system is a film shooting risk control system based on the ERP management system of the crew,and a online systems used for the insurance company to monitor the use of crew resources and crew shooting process after the crew and the insurance companies has reached a security agreement.The system consists of five functional modules: Box office prediction module,to carry out box office forecast through the methods learned by Naive Bayesian,K-Nearest Neighbor,SVM and Decision Tree etc.The scripting risk prediction module,to predicts the risk of the script based on the script and through the technology of word segmentation,Named Entity Recognition and Dependency Parsing of language processing method.The predicted results can be used by the insurance company as a reference.The financial monitoring module,for insurance companies to monitor the cost of the crew.The material monitoring module,used to monitor the state of crew goods in use which are under insurance.The insurance business module,contains all the processes required after the subject matter of the insurance suffered loss.Box office prediction of this system reaches more than 70% accuracy and scripting risk prediction has a miscalculation rate of less than 15% and error rate of less than 5%.The system implements all the expected functionality,and it runs stably with no outage under test environment.The system can actually be applied to the insurance company’s supervision of the crew.