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A Statistical Study On The “exogenous” Nature Of Regional Urbanization

Posted on:2018-05-13Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:W G ZhaoFull Text:PDF
GTID:2359330536983049Subject:Statistics
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With the development of the new "urbanization" strategy,urbanization has risen to the strategic height of China's development.Many scholars in our country have also carried out in-depth research on urbanization,such as suburban urbanization,semi-urbanization,Active urbanization and passive urbanization and so on.While from a new perspective,the author looks at the process of urbanization problems,and the regional urbanization of the "exogenous" characteristics.So the process of "exogenous" characteristics urbanization in some areas has been studied from the perspective of regional statistics in this paper.The development of urbanization is a historical process,after achieving a certain scale the concept came into being,and the development of urbanization is the result of industrial development,meaning that the rural surplus labor continues to non-agricultural transfer,and urban life and production methods continue to spread to the countryside.However,the eastern part of the attractiveness of foreign investment and labor investment is faster than the central and western regions.In recent years,the eighty percent of the amount of foreign investment in east,and higher than the central and western 16 percentage points in second and third industry employment rate.Based on the industrialization of China's particularity,Urbanization shows varying degrees of "exogenous" nature.This kind of "exogenous" includes two cases.First,for the net outflow of labor,even if the industrialization is zero,the resident population of the city is zero,and the urbanization rate can only be improved because of the decrease of the total population.Second,for the net inflow of labor in the region,even if the rural population is zero growth,due to the large number of foreign labor force in the town gathered,also led to a significant increase in the level of urbanization.So this part of the improvement of urbanization rate is called urbanization of urban "exogenous" nature.The reasonable measure of urbanization is the basis of empirical analysis.In the framework of existing statistics,the author puts forward the endogenous urbanization rate and exogenous urbanization rate index to measure the current situation by endogenous power Under the action of the regional urbanization level and the role ofexogenous dynamic regionalization of the level of urbanization.The author points out the rationality,the boundary problem,the "exogenous" trend and the urbanization of the "exogenous" nature in the middle and eastern,provincial,provincial and municipal levels,municipal and county levels The influence of "exogenous" on urbanization performance is discussed.The empirical results show that the urbanization rate of the exotic urbanization in the central and western regions is positive,which is characterized by the lag of industrialization and the negative rate of urbanization in the eastern part.The urbanization rate is negative.At the provincial level,Anhui Province,Sichuan Province and Henan Province and other 16 provinces(cities)exogenous urbanization rate is positive,the performance of the industrial lag,Guangdong Province,Shanghai and Beijing and other 15 provinces(cities)exogenous urbanization rate is negative,the performance For the urbanization lag;to Henan Province,for example,in addition to Zhengzhou City and Jiyuan City,the rest of the city exogenous urbanization rate are negative,for the industrial lagging areas.This "exogenous" nature has had a great influence on the development of urbanization.Based on the index of "exogenous contribution rate" used in the different areas,the author measures the exogenous contribution to development of urbanization.The author focuses on the study of industrialized lagging areas.The empirical results show that the exogenous nature of urbanization in China is accounted for 23.46% by 2013.At the provincial level,the exogenous nature of Guizhou is 54.11%,the urbanization exodus in Henan Province accounted for 34.14% of the proportion;at the city level,Zhumadian City,Henan Province,urbanization exogenous accounted for 80% of the proportion of Zhoukou urbanization exogenous stimulus accounted for 69.71%.The "exogenous" nature of urbanization has a great influence on the performance of urbanization.At the same time,the lower the measure level,the greater the impact of this "exogenous" on urbanization performance.Based on the urbanization rate in2005,this paper uses the index of "exogenous contribution rate" to measure the influence of urbanization on the development of urbanization.The empirical results show that the contribution of "exogenous" is 23.46% in the development of urbanization in central and western China by 2013.In the development of urbanization in Guizhou Province,the contribution of "exogenous" is 54.11%,Zhumadian City of urban development,"exogenous" contribution of 80%.Therefore,both at the provincial level,or at the municipal level,the regional urbanization of the "exogenous" of the evaluation of urbanization performance can not be underestimated.For the special historical phenomenon of "exogenous" in the process of urbanization,the author thinks that those areas that show the negative exotic urbanization rate usually show that urbanization lags behind industrialization.The current task should be to digest the migrant labor and population that have been included in the urbanization rate of the resident population,and to realize the urbanization of the people proposed by the central government;those areas where the exotic urbanization rate is positive is characterized by the lack of industrial development and the formation of its urbanization on the external areas of high dependence,at this stage,industrialization is still its main task,although the development of urbanization also has a positive effect on industrialization,but should not be more than to replace the industrialization The importance of the urbanization rate of the resident population is higher than the importance of the urbanization rate of the household population.Of course,the importance of the urbanization rate of the resident population is higher than the importance of the urbanization rate of the household population.Of course,the main task of urbanization in these areas is to promote the agglomeration of the labor force in the towns and so on,so as to promote the rapid development of the secondary and tertiary industries.In this process should also pay attention to people's urbanization,that is,as much as possible to reduce the rural population to urbanization development policy obstacles.No matter what type,the development of urbanization also needs to rely on the further development of industrialization in the further.There is an urgent need for industrial quality improvement in areas where urban areas are negative and exogenous,otherwise the external labor force and population at low wage levels can not complete the whole process of urbanization;those areas that are externally urbanized,which industrial development and the improvement of the quality of the increase has the same important position.Under the new situation,the regional areas on the issue of urbanization unified understanding,co-ordination arrangements,mutual assistance,focusing on the comparative advantages of the region,the effective combination ofthe formation of different division of labor between regions in the economic development and urbanization process in the complementary advantages.
Keywords/Search Tags:urbanization, "exogenous", exogenous urbanization rate, exogenous contribution rate, U-shaped curve
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