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A Study On The Interaction Between Population Flow And Economic Development In Wuhan

Posted on:2021-03-13Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:J W LiangFull Text:PDF
GTID:2427330605957262Subject:Regional Economics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
At present,China is in an important period of economic and social development.Population flow affects most details of economic development everywhere.Economic development also affects the speed and scale of population flow between different regions all the time.As the leading city in Central China,the interaction between population flow and economic development is more obvious in Wuhan.After the reform and opening up,the population flow and economic development in Wuhan have changed greatly,and many new features have emerged.The coordination of population flow and economic development in Wuhan will become the key to the sustainable and healthy development of Wuhan's economy and society.Therefore,this paper will try to use the method of economics to analyze the interaction between population flow and economic development in Wuhan.In order to better complete this research,this paper starts with the basic theory of population flow and economic development,first carries on the literature review and analysis to the domestic and foreign related research,then concretely analyzes the existing circumstance and development tendency of population flow and economic development in Wuhan,and then uses the GRA to analyze the correlation between population flow and economic development in Wuhan,and then uses the VAR model Finally,this paper summarizes the conclusions of this study and puts forward relevant suggestions according to the conclusions.The first and second chapters of this paper mainly combine the literature research method to analyze the concepts of population flow and economic development by summarizing and analyzing the literature and books about population flow and economic development at home and abroad,and on this basis,summarize and sort out the relevant theories.At the same time,combined with the current background of China's times,this paper establishes the section of this paper Entry point and innovation point.The third chapter first analyzes the scale characteristics of the total population flow,and then analyzes the structure and reasons of the population flow in Wuhan,aiming to explain the current situation of the floating population in Wuhan.The fourth chapter first analyzes the scale characteristics of Wuhan's economic aggregate,and then analyzes the industrial structure of Wuhan's population flow,aiming to elaborate the current situation of Wuhan's economic development.The fifth chapter qualitatively analyzes the correlation between the employment structure of various industries in Wuhan and the positive and negative effects of the floating population after entering the Han Dynasty.At the same time,with the help of the GRA.more accurately calculates the gray values of economic scale and economic structure and population flow scale,which are greater than 0.5,and the former is greater than the latter.It shows that in the short term,compared with the economic structure,the economic scale of Wuhan has a better correlation with population mobility.The sixth chapter studies the interaction between population flow and economic development in Wuhan with the help of ADF test,vector autoregressive model and other quantitative analysis methods.In this part,we first verify that three groups of data of population flow,economic scale and economic structure in Wuhan are stable first-order differential time series data,and then use VAR model to analyze the interaction among the above three variables.The structure shows that when the economic scale of Wuhan increases by one unit,the population flow scale increases by 0.628655 units,and the industrial structure of Wuhan increases by 0.628655 units When one unit is added,the scale of population flow increases by 1.764299 units.The seventh chapter summarizes the core conclusions of the paper,and puts forward some suggestions on the settlement policy,the establishment of cooperation and exchange platform,and the improvement of urban transportation and residential planning,in order to promote the coordinated development of population flow and economic development in Wuhan.
Keywords/Search Tags:population flow, economic development, economic scale, economic structure, VAR model
PDF Full Text Request
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