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Mathematical Model Analysis Of The Epidemic Of Drug-resistant Strains Among High-risk Groups Of HIV

Posted on:2019-07-29Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:H W ZhuFull Text:PDF
GTID:2430330599463927Subject:Mathematics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
Since the first HIV patient appeared in China in 1985,the transmission rate of HIV has gradually accelerated,and the situation is becoming more and more serious.The death rate of the virus is very high and can not be cured fundamentally.It can only be maintained by drugs.It is not only costly but also resistant to resistance,which makes antiviral treatment ineffective.At present,the propo rtion of male to male infection in China is increasing and has become a high-risk group.If not controlled,it will become more serious.In this paper,the epidemic dynamics model of infectious diseases was used to study the HIV prevalence of male and fema le people in Beijing,and focus on the spread of drug-resistant strains.The model was divided into seven storerooms,which was more close to the actual situation in China.Then using the survey data of Beijing CDC in 2010,the numerical simulation of the model was carried out,and the theoretical results were verified,and three control methods were proposed.The total number of HIV infected persons and the total number of drug resistant persons were calculated,and the advantages of the three control methods were analyzed,and given a selection of researchers for different needs.
Keywords/Search Tags:Drug Resistance, Numerical Simulation, Homogeneous Dynamical Model, Hiv risk population
PDF Full Text Request
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