Estimation of the probability a Brownian bridge crosses a concave boundary | | Posted on:2011-03-07 | Degree:M.A | Type:Thesis | | University:East Carolina University | Candidate:Yang, Fan | Full Text:PDF | | GTID:2440390002955184 | Subject:Statistics | | Abstract/Summary: | PDF Full Text Request | | This thesis studies a new method to estimate the probability that a Brownian bridge crosses a concave boundary. We show that a Brownian bridge crosses a concave boundary if and only if its least concave majorant crosses said concave boundary. As such, we can equivalently simulate the least concave majorant of a Brownian bridge in order to estimate the probability that a Brownian bridge crosses a concave boundary.;We apply these theoretical results to the problem of estimating joint confidence intervals for a true CDF at every point. We compare this method to a traditional method for estimating joint confidence intervals for the true CDF at every point which is based upon the limiting distribution of what is often called the Kolmogorov-Smirnov distance, the sup-norm distance between the empirical and true CDFs. We indicate the disadvantages of the traditional approach and demonstrate how our approach addresses these weaknesses. | | Keywords/Search Tags: | Brownian bridge crosses, Concave boundary, True CDF, Probability, Estimating joint confidence intervals | PDF Full Text Request | Related items |
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