Statistical Modeling Research On Heat Supply Regulation Method Based On Heating Room Temperature

The state vigorously advocates ”energy conservation and environmental protection”,heating system how to optimize the dynamic control mode of heating quantity,in order to achieve the purpose of energy conservation,reduce environmental pollution has become an important topic.Due to the thermal inertia of heating equipment in the heating system during operation,it means that after the heating quantity changes at a certain point,the user’s indoor temperature will lag behind for a period of time to respond.However,thermal inertia was not taken into account in previous regulation methods and formulas.Therefore,in order to ensure that the user room temperature reaches the ideal standard value,it is necessary to consider the lag of the heating system and indoor temperature,that is,the amount of heating in the heating system at a certain time is not only related to the indoor temperature and outdoor temperature at the present moment,but also related to the amount of heating,indoor temperature and outdoor temperature at the historical moment.In this paper,ARIMAX model is introduced into the traditional ARIMA model.After the basic principle of ARIMAX model is introduced in detail,data statistics and actual parameter testing are carried out on specific heating system to establish the corresponding heating energy saving regulation model.Finally,according to the energy saving regulation model,the heating quantity in the heating system is fitted and simulated,and the energy saving measures and suggestions for dynamic regulation of heating quantity are given.