Study On The Impact Of Temperature Change On Urban Residents' Electricity Consumptio

The process of global temperature warming continues to intensify,and the occurrence of extreme weather temperature events increases in frequency and intensity.In the past 50 years,the annual average temperature in China has increased by 0.5-0.8 degrees Celsius,slightly higher than the global average temperature increase in the same period,and there are more extreme high temperature events and extreme low temperature events.With the increasing trend of temperature warming,urban residents in China have an increasingly strong demand for indoor cooling and heating,which leads to an increase in electricity consumption for urban residents.Moreover,in the process of urban residents living electricity consumption will be constrained by urban residents disposable income.Income growth may be adjusted by adjusting the energy consumption structure of urban residents,such as the adoption of non-electric heating equipment.In view of the above background,it is of great significance to study the impact of temperature change on urban residents’ domestic electricity consumption and further study the moderating effect of income growth on urban residents’ domestic electricity consumption response to temperature change.This study focuses on the impact of temperature change and income growth on the domestic electricity consumption of urban residents.Firstly,by constructing unbalanced panel data of the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration from 2004 to2019 and applying the fixed-effect model regression,it is found that the higher cooling demand in summer promotes the increase of urban residents’ domestic electricity consumption,while the higher heating demand in winter may lead to the decrease of residents’ domestic electricity consumption.Moreover,the response of urban residents to temperature change shows obvious regional heterogeneity.Finally,by constructing unbalanced panel data of the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration from 2004 to 2019 and applying the moderating effect model regression,it is found that income growth weakens the impact of heating demand on urban residents’ domestic electricity consumption,but strengthens the impact of cooling demand on urban residents’ domestic electricity consumption.In the future,in the overall planning of residential energy consumption in the Yangtze River Delta region,the moderating effect of income growth should be fully considered,the demand for residential electricity and natural gas should be predicted scientifically,and the differences among cities with different economic levels should be considered.The government can formulate policies and regulations related to improving energy efficiency,and the implementation of relevant policies should focus on behavioral change of residents.