Research On Risk Prevention And Control Mechanism Of The Inter-Basin Water Transfer PPP Project In H Province

Since the new century,with the continuous improvement of China’s urbanization level,the demand for water resources for people’s normal life and the development of economy and agriculture is increasing,and the contradiction of water use is also increasing.Since the approval of the report on the inter-basin water transfer project in H Province,it marks that the inter-basin water transfer project in H Province has officially entered the construction stage.Since the inter-basin water transfer project in H Province itself involves multiple subjects participating in the planning and design,long construction period,large investment scale and other complex situations,the project needs to introduce the PPP development model.The PPP model in China started late,and the theory and practice in all aspects are not perfect.Therefore,it is of great practical significance to study the risks of the inter-basin water transfer PPP project in H Province and build specific prevention and control strategies for the smooth implementation and long-term development of the inter-basin water transfer PPP project in H Province.This paper is based on the risk of the inter-basin water transfer project in H province under the PPP mode,in order to build the risk prevention and control mechanism of the inter-basin water transfer PPP project in H province,mainly from three aspects of risk identification,risk evaluation,risk prevention and control.By summarizing the research status of inter-basin water transfer and PPP mode at home and abroad,the operation mode of PPP project and the concept of inter-basin water transfer are sorted out.Based on the literature study and relevant cases,combined with the characteristics of the inter-basin water transfer PPP project in H Province,the cultural risk dimension is proposed,and the communication,management concept and religious belief risk are detailed.The unique risk is proposed in the original economic risk dimension,and the rainstorm risk and epidemic risk are proposed in the natural risk dimension.On this basis,the initial list of risk factors for the inter-basin water transfer PPP project in H Province was established,and the risk factors were identified by Delphi method for the second time.Finally,six first-level risk indicators and 30 second-level risk indicator systems including politics,law,economy,nature,culture,operation and maintenance were constructed.Finally,according to the entropy weight method and grey correlation analysis,the risk portfolio evaluation model of the inter-basin water transfer PPP project in H province is established.The model is verified by a case,and the reliability analysis is carried out on the data scored by experts.The weight of each index is calculated,and the correlation degree is used to analyze the evaluation results.The research shows that the rainstorm risk proposed in this paper is the key risk factor,which is in line with the reality;In addition,the management concept risk and religious belief risk in the cultural risk dimension are highly correlated,which can be used as a reference basis for risk.On this basis,targeted risk prevention and control strategies are proposed to provide a reliable theoretical basis for the construction of inter-basin water transfer in H Province,with a view to promoting the healthy development of the inter-basin water transfer PPP project in H Province.Figure [7] Table [16] Reference [74]...