Research On The Risk Early Warning Of Overseas Business Development Of Small And Medium-sized Science And Technology Companies From The Perspective Of Intelligence

At present,Chinese enterprises interact with the world more and more frequently.In this process,some developed countries began to label China’s "going global" enterprises with negative labels such as "resource Predator","environmental Destroyer","technology transferor" and "national security threat",which seriously hindered the process of overseas development of Chinese enterprises and affected the overseas image of Chinese enterprises.Among them,the most obvious impact is scientific and technological enterprises.It is precisely because of the prejudice of some developed countries on the overseas expansion of Chinese enterprises that Chinese enterprises have political,economic,legal and social risks in the process of overseas expansion.In the process of overseas business expansion of most scientific and technological small and medium-sized enterprises,there are problems of low risk awareness and insufficient risk prevention and control ability.The complexity of the international environment and the increasingly fierce competition in industry and science and technology among large countries make the risks faced by science and technology enterprises in overseas business expansion increasingly severe,which urgently needs the support of intelligence early warning.Intelligence is the product of competition and confrontation.It plays an irreplaceable role in the identification and early warning of overseas business development risks.This study takes scientific and technological small and medium-sized enterprises as the research object,establishes the risk early warning model of overseas business expansion of such enterprises from the perspective of intelligence,and dynamically presents the risk level in the form of visual map,so as to provide support for scientific and technological small and medium-sized enterprises to avoid the risk of overseas business expansion.Specifically,this study is based on the methods and theories of risk management,risk early warning and informatics.Using the methods of questionnaire,semi-structured interview,grounded theory,expert scoring and statistical analysis,this paper takes the scientific and technological small and medium-sized enterprises that are or are about to expand their overseas business as the research object to build the risk early warning information system of scientific and technological small and medium-sized enterprises’ overseas business expansion;Build a risk early warning model around four aspects: the selection of countries for overseas business expansion,before,during and after overseas business expansion.Through literature research,field interview,questionnaire survey and other methods to understand the current situation of overseas business development of science and technology-based small and medium-sized enterprises,and form a research framework.Specifically,firstly,based on the identification of risk points in the process of overseas business development,go deep into enterprises to conduct questionnaire survey and interview,use grounded theory to determine the risk indicators of scientific and technological small and medium-sized overseas business development,use SPSS to calculate the weight of each risk indicator for expert scoring method,and complete the formulation of risk scoring table;Secondly,the early warning map of overseas business development risk of enterprises is made based on JavaScript to realize risk visualization,and the alarm level is classified according to different colors displayed by different scores.Then,according to the risk situation,build the risk early warning information system for overseas business expansion of scientific and technological small and medium-sized enterprises,and clarify the information positioning and information guarantee;Finally,text mining based on Python provides risk prevention suggestions for managers of science and technology-based small and medium-sized enterprises.This study studies the overseas business development risk of scientific and technological small and medium-sized enterprises,inherits the existing risk early warning research results,realizes risk visualization on the basis of interdisciplinary integration,and better helps scientific and technological small and medium-sized enterprises carry out overseas business development risk early warning.