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Analysis Of The Evolutionary Game And Theory Application Of Huaihe River Basin Water Environment Management

Posted on:2009-08-22Degree:DoctorType:Dissertation
Country:ChinaCandidate:J ZhongFull Text:PDF
GTID:1101360272970996Subject:Management Science and Engineering
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Water is indispensable to the existence and development of human beings. However, water pollution and water shortage has become one of the major problems facing the world today. Generally, water environment management includes water quality management and water resources. water environment system is a complex dynamic system exchanging materials and energy with the outside word continuously. It has the attributes of the complexity system. for the complexity of evolution of the water environment. its internal mechanisms and the effects and mechanism of external environment and is not clear to mechanism of interaction and coupling between internal with external. The use of traditional methods is a very limited to study water environment management. This requires to study scientific management for a water environment.. Based on the study of the Huaihe River basin, this dissertation made study on the water environment management.Evolutionary game theory has gained rapid development in the 1990s. It is the cutting-edge tools in the field of mathematical statistics. Its applied research in the field of water pollution control programs is still at the exploratory stage, this dissertation based on the comparative analysis of different methods and theory of water environment management, introduces the evolutionary game theory to water environment management so as to provide scientific and systematic method for water environment management planning research. The water environment management is carried out within the limited ration space in uncertainty. To consider the process of the dynamic adjustment of interaction behavior between the participate from the perspective of the evolution of the water pollution control system. Using the model of evolutionary game analysis the spontaneous formation process of participate group strategy. To build a macro-model of water pollution control system. With a view to the providing the theoretical basis actually appropriate for the Huaihe River basin water planning and environmental control. this paper a more comprehensive analysis of the comments the status quo of the Huaihe River basin water environment management.This dissertation analyses the status quo of ecological environment and water pollution control analysis of the Huaihe River basin, shows the urgency and importance to carry out this research. laying historical foundation for the further research. The introduction to the origin theory of ideological of evolution and on the basis of philosophy and study of traditional and modern development and on the production, and the development and application of the evolution game theory, analysis of characteristic of the evolution game theory and its application, the introduction to the evolution game theory in the system of the water environment, analysis of the mechanism of the harmonious evolution of the Huaihe River basin water environment system, construct the theoretical platform for this dissertation.To establish a dynamic game model of water environment programming for the complexity system of water environment of the Huaihe River basin, this dissertation uses the evolution of the game theory to build a game model concerning the economic groups of the Huaihe River valley analysis of the process of the dynamics evolution of cooperation and competition. As the game model of spontaneous evolution of economic groups of the Huaihe River depends on the relative pay-off of the cooperation, non-cooperation, and the pay-off related government regulatory system. Then the dissertation studied the dynamic game process of evolution of regulatory rules and economic groups to try to cooperate inter-enterprise by using dynamic game model on the analysis of the evolution of the formation of the system of the status quo of institutional arrangements and economic groups cooperation of the Huaihe River basin in the evolution of the formation of the system..The theoretical studies in the dissertation are as follows. First, using the evolutionary game theory to make a preliminary study in decision-making group of the Huaihe River water resources management, establishing the evolutionary game model of multi-stage group decision-making, putting forward a solution method, building the control model of the evolution spread of water pollution, presenting an algorithm of evolutionary game with biological intelligence-learning behavior based on the mechanism of protein secreted, making analysis of technical line and calculation steps of multi-objective problem of co-evolutionary game, analyzing water resources optimized allocation, building model of water rights and water market of a water resources allocation to establishment of model for the distribution of benefits of a Bayesian game combined with linear programming, studying optimization model for the allocation of water resources planning of Bengbu city of located in the Huaihe River valley. Presentation of specific programs of the Multi-objective optimization plans to optimize the water resources allocation of Bengbu city.The above-mentioned research not only enriched the theory of water environment control but also broadened the applications of the traditional water environment model, providing more sufficient scientific evidence for decision makers to make water environment planning decision.
Keywords/Search Tags:evolutionary game theory, system complexity, water environmental planning decision-making model, water pollution spread model, water resources optimal allocation, water right trade model
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