Management & Research Upon Risk Of Power Grid

In the deregulated power market,the power grid operator is facing many uncertainty and risks．Risk concept,risk analysis approach and risk management are introduced．In Chapter II,the maj or risks of grid operators is analyzed and evaluated in details．Based on the real situation and data of Yueyang City,Hunan Province,the economic risk resulting from the uncertainty of load prediction of whole system,generation capacity and parallel quantity of the large enterprises self-owned power plant are analyzed．Meanwhile,the increase of large enterprises self-owned power plant may cause economic and security risks．Considering different risk,the qualitmive and quantitative approaches are respectively adopted．The direct and indirect congestion risks are evaluated based on probabilistic theory and decision theory．The retail pricing and trade modes are major areas embracing risks as well．Chapter III divides the risks in internal and external ones based on the characteristics of risk and put forward the layered risk management approach．...