Research On The Development Trend Of Freeway Passengers' Transportation In Jiangsu Province

Nowadays many nations developments modernization city energetically, the fast passenger transportation system is one of important research realms among them. In the last few years, the speed of freeway developments is very quick. Highway travelers' transportation has become an important part of the rapid transit system in our country. Jiangsu province's economic and transportation prospers, the developing level of its freeway passenger transportation has located the head in the domestic through short several years' developments. This text is intent on thoroughly researching Jiangsu's freeway passengers transportation systemically, and use science methods to forecast its developing trend. Then they can offer dependable foundation for its future development.This article has seven chapters. The first chapter primarily says the research background, purpose and meanings. And it introduces the main contents, method and technique routes of the paper.From the second chapter, the paper enters the stage of research. First starting from the present condition of Jiangsu's freeway passengers' transportation, on the basis of knowing its development course in the past few years, it analyzed the environment of supply and demand of its market and the circumstance of its enterprises' operation from the angle of microcosmic view.In the third chapter, the paper get a general cognition of highway rapid transportation's development situation in our home and abroad, and the regions surrounding Jiangsu province. Then it draws the experience, lessons from them. After understanding the macro-environment and moderate- environment, the article makes the SWOT analysis to Jiangsu's freeway passengers' transportation. It's just the fourth chapter's contents.The fifth chapter makes a qualitative analysis to the future development trend of Jiangsu's freeway passengers' transportation. It is clear that the direction of the transportation's extending on the space by the reasonable illation to its advantage conveyance distance, and the composing evolvement of thepassengers in the market.After that, the article is going on a quantitative forecast to the market demand of Jiangsu's freeway passengers' transport in the sixth chapter. In the predict process, first the gray relationship theory was adopted to pick out several useful factors, which influence the market demanding and was regarded as the independent variable in the demand forecast model. Then it sets up the Gray Model and works out the parameters. Through several times checking and revising, it successfully gets the satisfied forecast formula. According to the formula, it calculates the future volume and turnover of passenger traffic.Finally the last chapter draws a conclusion to the research job and makes a expectation for the further work.In the whole studying process, the article keeps the principles those are qualitative analysis together with quantitative computation, letter argumentation matching with data diagrams, and widespread survey combining with typical cases. From different lays and different angles, it carries out the research work synthetically, roundly, deeply and meticulously. At last it comes out the scientific dependable predication results.