Statistical Research On The Industrial Structure Adjustment Of The Impact Of Aging Population

After 1890s,the level of national fertility keeps declining,the proportion of the elderly population keeps increasing at a steady pace.The proportion of the elderly population in China reached 6.96%in 2000,and China entered the aging society.There are 212 million national elderly population are aged 60 and over,accounting for 15.5%of the total population in 2014,China has become the world's largest total population of elderly countries.Human being is the final subject of social production and social demand,the change of demographics will inevitably lead to the change of demand structure,which will affect the adjustment of industrial structure.Industrial structure is one of the standards to measure the economic development of a country,reasonable adjustments of industrial structure can promote the development of a country's economy,but if the adjustments of industrial structure and economic are not coordinated,it will seriously hinder the pace of economic development.Based on the above background,this paper intends to study the impact of aging population on the industrial structure adjustment,and will give reference advice to industrial structure adjustment.The research of this paper mainly includes five parts:The first part is a detailed analysis of the current situation of China's aging population and industrial structure through statistical description;The second part is based on the Cobb-douglas(CD)inhomogeneous demand effect function to prove the effect of the population aging on the industrial structure adjustment,and to explore the inherent mechanism of the impact of aging population on the industrial structure;The third part is a study on the relationship between aging population and the industrial structure measurement indicators by using the grey correlation analysis method;The fourth part dynamically analyzes the concrete influence of the aging population on the adjustment of industrial structure in China;Fifth,summarize the previous research results,and give the corresponding policy recommendations.On the basis of the above research,this paper draws the following conclusions:first,the population aging in our country started late but developed rapidly,and there is a big difference between regions,economically developed areas entered the aging population situation firstly.Second,there is an inevitable link between the aging population and the adjustment of industrial structure,and the correlation between the aging of population and t the sophistication of industrial structure is higher than the correlation between the aging of the population and the rationalization of industrial structure.Third,discovered through the research on nearly 20 years of aging and the industrial structure of our country:the aging of the population can not only promote the high level of industrial structure rationalization,also has a positive impact on the industrial structure,but there are some differences between the different regions.