The Research On Affecting Factors Of Carbon Emissions And Reduction Strategies In Fujian Province

With the development of industrialization and urbanization,Climate issues caused by carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gas emissions will become a bottleneck restricting economic development,affecting the quality of economic development.Through the analysis of carbon emissions and its influencing factors in Fujian Province,the corresponding emission reduction strategies are obtained.It has certain guiding significance for Fujian province to achieve carbon emission reduction and improve the quality of economic development in the future.In this paper,energy consumption of Fujian Province from 1990 to 2015 are used to calculate the carbon emission.The results show that carbon emissions in Fujian have been increasing since 1990.Fujian's carbon emissions in 2015 was 9.18 times that of 1990.Secondly,the influence factors of carbon emissions are decomposed by Kaya identity.On this basis,the gray correlation model is used to analyze the correlation between each factor and the carbon emissions of Fujian province.The results show that the correlation between the four factors and carbon emissions is very large.Economic growth is the most important factor,followed by the total population,the third is the energy structure,the fourth is the energy intensity.Finally,the gray forecasting model is used to forecast the future development trend of carbon emissions and its influencing factors in Fujian Province from 2016 to 2025.According to the forecast results,in the next ten years,carbon emissions in Fujian province will continue to grow and the growth rate will be greater.At the same time,the future development trend of various factors is not optimistic,it is still the main factor that leads to the growth of carbon emissions in Fujian province in the fucture.Finally some proposals were put forward based on the analysis results.