Research On Evaluation Of Overall Technical Value Of Communication Service Enterprises Based On Monte Carlo Simulation

In recent years,with the rapid development of communication technology,communication networks tend to be complicated,customer service needs become more centralized and integrated,industry competition intensifies,and market concentration becomes larger,which makes comprehensive service providers with cross-regional,integrated and multi-equipment manufacturers stand out,while those service providers with single region and single service will be gradually eliminated.As a high-tech enterprise,the intangible assets of technology are very important in communication service enterprises,so it is particularly critical to evaluate the overall technical value of communication service enterprises.In evaluating the overall technical value of the communication service industry,the income method is generally adopted.However,due to the characteristics of technical intangible assets,the income is uncertain,and the traditional income method ignores the influence of uncertain factors,which has a great impact on the accuracy of the evaluation results of the overall technical value.Therefore,this paper improves the traditional income method to get a reasonable evaluation result.The research idea of this paper is: on the basis of the theoretical research on the evaluation method of the whole technology value(intangible assets of technology)at home and abroad,through summarizing the evaluation theory of the whole technology value of communication service industry,this paper analyzes the evaluation method suitable for the evaluation of intangible assets of technology,and comes to the conclusion that the most suitable evaluation method is the income method.This paper uses the income sharing method to evaluate the technology intangible assets,and explains the problems in the traditional income method combined with the actual situation.then monte carlo simulation is introduced into the traditional income method to establish an income method model which is suitable for the evaluation of the overall technical value of communication service enterprises.then the income sharing rate is determined by the solow residual value method and the analytic hierarchy process.Finally,through the way of case analysis,the applicability of monte carlo simulation in the overall technical value evaluation is demonstrated by comparing the evaluation results with the traditional income method,which provides a new idea for the overall technical value evaluation of similar enterprises.