| In theory,the concept of green growth is increasingly prominent in international policy discourse since 2008,initially used primarily to address climate change issues,but now it encompasses a wider range of environmental resources.Green growth is a powerful economic proposition.It is a outcome of sustainable development and a key driver of economic transformation.Industrial green growth is the extension and expansion of green growth in the industrial field.It is a new industrial development model that gives consideration to economic development,resource conservation and environmental friendliness.In the past decade,developed countries have taken the lead in launching "Green New Deal" to support the implementation of green growth strategies and improve national competitiveness.In policy,from the 11th Five-Year Plan to the 14th Five-Year Plan,four five-year plans have put forward clear development goals and policy suggestions focusing on green energy conservation,low carbon and environmental protection in China.In addition,the "Made in China 2025" and "Industrial Green Development Plan(2016-2020)" have been formulated to improve the level of manufacturing and promote green industrial development.At the present stage,China is in a critical period of industrial green transformation.It is of great significance to clarify the development context of industrial green development and explore the realization path and direction of green industry for promoting the harmonious integration of industrial civilization and ecological civilization,and to implement the strategic goal of manufacturing power.Firstly,we use the visualization software Cite Space to conduct bibliometric analysis,and obtain the research hotspots of environmental regulation,R&D innovation and industrial structure,as well as the two-dimensional framework of industrial development and green development to analyze the frontier trend of industrial green growth.We use content analysis to policy text according to the three-dimensional structure of policy instruments-green development-industrial development.It is concluded that in policy tool dimensions,China’s industrial green growth policy prefers to apply the supply policy tool which is mainly supported by capital.In the dimension of green development,we advocate taking into account resources and the environment on the premise of steady growth.In the dimension of industrial development,we mainly take structural adjustment and technological innovation as the starting point.Secondly,based on the theoretical basis and policy basis,we select three research hotspots and policy preferences of environmental regulation,R&D innovation and industrial structure as the main influencing factors,and construct an industrial green growth model from 2000 to 2025,which includes five subsystems of policy,energy,environment,economy and industry.By adjusting the policy parameters of environmental regulation,R&D and innovation,and industrial structure,we simulate the development trend of industrial green growth under ten policy scenarios,and analyze the simulation results.It is found that increasing investment-oriented environmental regulation,reducing cost-oriented environmental regulation,increasing R&D and innovation,and optimizing industrial structure are the optimal paths for both economic development and green growth.Finally,we put forward the following three policy suggestions for the realization of the green ecological goal in the 14th Five-Year Plan.First,we should improve the level of environmental regulation and improve the environmental regulation system.Second,we need to raise the level of enterprise R&D and innovation and accelerate the R&D and application of green technologies.Third,we should make rational use of investment in fixed assets and promote the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure. |