Research On The Impact Of Chinese Technology Innovation On Carbon Emissions

This thesis explores the relationship among China’s technology innovation,economic development and carbon emissions.Based on the linear relationships,this thesis explores threshold panel regression through different economical stages.This thesis also examines whether the EKC assumptions are met between China’ economic development and carbon emissions from 1999 to 2016 in different regions and calculated the turning point values.Through intersection terms,this thesis tests the moderating effect of technology innovation in the impact of economic development on carbon emissions.Through empirical analysis,the thesis the conclusions as follows.When national per capita GDP is greater than 16829.69 yuan,R&D investment has the greatest positive impact on carbon emissions.When national per capita GDP is greater than 9898.12yuan,low carbon technology patent output has the greatest positive impact on carbon emissions;when per capita GDP of eastern region is greater than 16829.69 yuan,the positive impact of R&D investment on carbon emissions is bigger than the whole nation.When the per capita GDP of eastern region is less than 9326.26 yuan,the low carbon technology patent output has a negative effect on carbon emissions.In addition,there is an inverted U-shaped curve between China’s economic development and carbon emissions.Most provinces are still on the left side of the turning point,which means that China has not yet reached the stage where economic development can reduce carbon emissions.The empirical results show that the moderating effect is significant.R&D investment and low-carbon technology output have ushered in the carbon inflection point in advance by adjusting the original inverted U-shaped curve,which is particularly significant in the eastern and western regions.This thesis gives following policy recommendations:For eastern region,the government should optimize the R&D investment mechanism so that can be effectively used for low carbon technology research.For the central region,measures are taken to improve the environment so as to usher in the turning point of carbon emission.The western region needs more platform for innovation and capital integration to attract more social and private capital investment in R&D and enterprises.