Research On Risk Management System

This paper deals with risk management system with a target on social, economic and ecological continual development. Based on the risk economy theory and risk culture theory, supported by risk guarantee theory and risk behavior theory, and aided by the means of risk management method, this paper studies present-day risk management problem and sets up its theory framework. It also thoroughly analyzes the complex interactions among the inner elements of risk management system, studies its dynamic mechanism, and sets up the detailed dynamic system model of risk-decrease system, which provides substantial support for the structural optimization of risk management system. This paper sets up the evolvement model of risk management system from the perspective of evolution, and illustrates, in a quantitative way, how cognitive structure, logistic discursion, information receive and diffuse behavior of risk management micro-agent influence the risk management system, which provides the research framework and practical instrument for the computer simulation of risk management system. Then, the paper studies the content, method and process of the structure system and operation system of risk management system design, and discusses the system process problem, major modeling method of process description in risk management system design. At last, it brings forward the process diagnose and design framework of risk management system. The innovation points of this paper are: constructing the framework of present-day risk management theory, setting up a new risk management theory system, bringing forward the agent-based risk management evolving modeling method on the basis of thorough analysis of risk management evolvement theory, establishing the theory framework of risk management system evolvement, micro-agent, macro-agent and multi-agents model; dissecting the dynamic mechanism of risk management system and its subsystem, and developing the dynamic model of risk-decrease system. The paper researches and fundamentally builds the methodology system of risk management system design, and discusses the structure mechanism, operation mechanism and process design method of risk management system. This paper focuses on the core problem of this field. It has close logic interrelation and relatively complete research aim and system. The theory, idea and method for settling the corresponding problems has great maneuverability. The research establishes the important basis for the risk management system and has important theoretical and practical value.