Dynamic Econometric Analysis On Relativity Between Accident Disasters And Economic Growth & Its Application

Based on multi-disciplinary theories and dynamic econometric analysis tools, the thesis has researched the relativity between accidents risks and economic growth from time and space viewpoints, explored mechanism and channels of interaction between them. Time sequence research proved that economic growth scale, economic structure as well as economic cycles all have effect on accidents risks, and mechanism of economy reflected on economic element factors would influence evolution of accidents risks on national level. Economic growth scale is not the only element which influences accidents risks spatial distribution, variance in economic growth elements reflecting difference in economic growth mechanism is the inner agent making accidents risks spatial distribution. Among them, economic growth structure is the dominant element, globalization and marketing are important complex elements. Enterprise safety behavior migration theory is put forward to explain micro-interaction between economic growth and accidents risks. And several social control measurements are suggested to promote economy to develop in safety way.