Study On Compensation Mechanism Of Emergemt Water Dispatch In The Yellow River

Recently the emergent water dispatch has become an important problem in the water resources management of the Yellow River because its frequency, range and intense are continually increasing, which caused by the severe aridity and river cessation in the downstream areas of the Yellow River. The emergent water dispatch has benefit as well as harm; it is the intensive change of the ordinary water resources allocation and always brings interest conflict between the areas which provide water and the areas which receive water. So, it is necessary to build a rational compensation mechanism of emergent water dispatch in order to balance the rights and obligations of all the areas involved in the water dispatch through the institution measures and technology measures, to avoid the harm caused by the water dispatch and to realize both the efficiency and the equity.Based on the National Science Fund project, the National"863"project and the science creative project of the ministry of water resources, this paper carries out a general and systemic study on the theory fundamental, the calculation methods, the institution construction and the information platform development of compensation mechanism of emergent water dispatch. The study's aim is to perfect the uniform water resources management system of the Yellow River and to advance the sustaining uses of water resources and the harmoniously development the all areas in the Yellow River basin. The paper's main contents include:(1)Through the analysis of the water resources characteristics and current water resources management situation of the Yellow River, the emergent water dispatch's concept, causes and benefit-harm effect are defined and the compensation mechanism's concept and its significance are also pointed out.(2)Using the knowledge of economics theory and water resources science, the composition, characteristics and variation rules of the water resources value during the procedure of the water dispatch are analyzed; the water rights transfer and the relation between the compensation mechanism and the water rights institution in the Yellow river are pointed out. The compensation mechanism of emergent water dispatch is concretely discussed in terms of the water resources value theory and water rights theory.(3)The negative effects caused by water dispatch are analyzed; the calculation methods for power generation loss and irrigation loss are provided through analysis of the principles and variations of such losses; examplesare calculated and discussed in order to provide reference for the rational account of compensation.(4)According to the principle of both the efficiency and the equity, the institution frame of the compensation mechanism of emergent water dispatch is constructed. The properties and effects of different implement methods of compensation are analyzed using the game theory and game model. The idea is that the most effective institution form today is the basin negotiation mode and the ultimate resolution of the dilemma is the self-constrain mode.(5)In order to carry out the basin negotiation of the emergent water dispatch compensation, the simulation and negotiation system is developed adopting the modern technologies such as middle-ware, Internet and Agent. The system is intelligent, flexible and expandable, which can be a decision and negation platform for the compensation mechanism of emergent water dispatch.(6)Using the simulation and negotiation system, two typical procedures of the emergent water dispatch, which are designed according to the current situation and reference, are simulated. The whole procedure including scheme definition, simulation calculation, technology negotiation and compensation negotiation are demonstrated and the final schemes of compensation of water dispatch are received.