Research On Wisdom Meta-synthesis Of Group Experts In War Design Engineering

War Design Engineering is an engineering-method for analyzing and designing the future war complex system. The basic concept of War Design Engineering is to solve the war designing issues by integrating the wisdom of realm experts and adapting the combining quantitative and qualitative method. By integrating the wisdom of expert group to design future war, the unilateralism and localization of single viewpoint as well as the uncertainty in the process of perceiving can be reduced effectively, furthermore, the designed intervening strategies will be more innovative, scientific, complete and robust. Therefore, in the process of war designing, the key issue which should be solved in the theory of War Design Engineering is how to integrate the wisdom of every realm expert effectively. Under the current background, this paper tries to solve the issue of wisdom integration of expert group in the War Design Engineering. At present, the research about wisdom integration of expert group is a new topic in worldwide. In addition, with the rapid development of research on war complexity expert wisdom integration becomes more and more important in war system design, so the research in this paper is of great significance from both the theory and application viewpoints. Based on the research of concept and attributes of wisdom integration of expert group in War Design Engineering, this paper presents the framework of wisdom integration of expert group in War Design Engineering, and probes into the longitudinal integration of expert wisdom to deal with the perspective dynamic evolvement and the transverse integration of expert wisdom based on the workshop of expert group. The main contents and fruits of this paper are outlined as follows:Firstly, this paper introduces the theoretical system of War Design Engineering, then points out the Meta-synthesis of expert wisdom in five realms is the basis of solving issues in War Design Engineering. Then, the paper presents the concept of wisdom integration of expert group, and makes a thorough analysis on the attributes of wisdom integration of expert group in War Design Engineering and its relationships with data integration, information integration and knowledge integration.Secondly, based on the analysis of the concept about wisdom integration of expert group, the paper puts forward three-dimension framework of wisdom integration of expert group, i.e., organizational dimension, longitudinal dimension and transverse dimension, both the meanings and the relationship of these three dimensions are analyzed in detail. In the analysis of organizational dimension, the significance and competence requirements of expert group in the whole war design are analyzed and the interactive model of multi-realm expert has been brought forward. In the analysis of longitudinal dimension, aiming at the characteristics of perspective dynamic evolvement in the flow of War Design Engineering, the framework of flow analysis of perspective dynamic evolvement oriented has been presented. In the analysis of transverse dimension, the reason for dynamic organization of expert group has been analyzed and the dynamic construction process of expert group also has been brought forward.Thirdly, the longitudinal integration of expert wisdom, which embodied chiefly in the perspective dynamic evolvement in War Design Engineering, has been researched. On the basis of concept and attributes research about perspective dynamic evolvement, the paper puts forward the realization mechanism of perspective dynamic evolvement in wisdom integration of expert group, i.e., task cooperation guarantee and technology realization guarantee of perspective dynamic evolvement. Towards the task cooperation guarantee, the division and cooperation among each realm expert in war design flow have been researched in detail; towards the technological guarantee, the method and process for solving the issues by combining quantitative and qualitative method in the process of wisdom integration of expert group have been investigated detailedly.Fourthly, the transverse integration of expert wisdom, including how to build up a good workshop team dynamically according to the change of discussed target and actualize effective discussion, has been researched. According to the specificity of dynamic construction of expert group, the paper brings forward the appraising meta-model of realm expert and makes a detailed analysis about the construction and appraising methods of index system in appraising meta-model, thereby educes the steps of construction of realm expert group. Furthermore, on the basis of the analysis of current workshop forms, the measurement methods of thought radiation and astringency based on key words in workshop have been given, and the workshop process of realm expert standardization, with the control of thought radiation and astringency as masterstroke, has also been brought forward.Lastly, Taking the analysis of influence of information system towards the campaign competence of submarine as a example, the process of solving issues by combining quantitative and qualitative method in wisdom integration of expert group and the perspective dynamic evolvement based on the basic process of War Design Engineering have been explained. Taking the initial perspective of workshop process of analysis of influence of new information system towards the campaign competence of naval fleet as an example, this paper illuminates the application of the standardization of workshop.