Study On The The Adaptive Management Of Forest Ecological System Influences Regional Economic System

The adaptive management of forest ecological system is based on the natural quality of thesystem. It emphasizes on the process management, and leads the adaptive management theoriesinto the forest ecological protection. It is also a management method which highlights theadaptive adjustment between conflicts and interferences. In fact, the adaptive management offorest ecological system directs the forest protection and intensive operation. This topic issupported by the "948project" of the State Forestry Administration, P.R.China. This paper isbased on the research results of the subsidiary topic. The aspect of this research is foresthydrology. After this system is carried off, this paper quantificatively analyzes the influence ofecological environment water consumption to regional economic system.The regional complex ecological system theories, the adaptive management theories, andthe input-output analysis theories are the basis of this research, which also analyzes theconnection between the forest ecological system and regional economy, from the aspects ofresource, environment and talents. This paper systematically analyzes the interactiverelationship between the adaptive management of the forest ecological system and economicdevelopment after the adaptive management is carried off. Moreover, it researches the functionof the regional ecological system under the adaptive management, and clarifies the connectiverelationship between the adaptive management and the regional economic system. At the sametime, it selects the essential factor-the ecological environment water consumption, and appliesinput-output analysis method to quantificatively measure the influence on the ecologicalenvironment water consumption after adaptive management of the forest ecological system iscarried off.The specific results are listed as the following:1. Based on the adaptive management of the ecological system, this paper researches thecalculation and adjustment of the urban regional ecological environment water consumptionfrom the aspect of the forest vegetation ecological water consumption. It utilizes the correctedP-M to measure the ET of the region, and to calculate the regional forest ecologicalenvironment water consumption. Furthermore, it uses the multi-target model to optimize andadjust the urban ecological environment water consumption.2. To construct and create the input-output chart of ecological environment waterconsumption-social economy. Make the use and protection of water resource(WU/WP) andremove the COD as categories of the account of the ecological water consumption and consider the ecological environment water consumption(WE) as the related category to create two newforms of input-output charts-object and value.3. To analyze the interactive influence of the ecological environment water consumption tothe social economy. Based on the input-output chart of ecological environment waterconsumption-social economy, this paper analyzes the direct consumption, completeconsumption and complete demand, in order to reflect the influence and interaction of the socialeconomic system according to the related accounts of the ecological environment waterconsumption. Meanwhile, this paper emphasizes on the analysis of benefit and efficiency of thewater consumption. It selects20departments which demand larger amount of waterconsumption and classifies them according to the5different qualities which are highproduction and high consumption, high production and low consumption, low production andhigh consumption, low production and low consumption, high production and potential highconsumption. List the Year2007as an example, the results indicates that the quality of TextileIndustry is high production and high consumption; the quality of Agriculture and ChemicalIndustry is high production and potential high consumption.4. To construct the related model of water consumption in the ecological environment-thesociety and economy, which is in accordance with the Kuznets Curve and based on theCobb-Dauglas production function. Hypothetically, the technical conditions are invariable, thisresearch considers the social capital, labor amount and water consumption as the factors toconstruct a model which refers to the input-output charts of water consumption of JiangsuProvince in the Year1997,2002, and2007, and calculates the social capital by using the socialcapital measurement method. This paper uses the Eviews6.0to Multivariate nonlinear regressthe model of ecological environment water consumption-society and economy. The result of theregression fits in with the Kuznets theory curve, therefore, this paper names it as the Kuznetscurve of the ecological environment water consumption, and calculates the maximum economicand reasonable value of ecological environment water consumption.