Study On The Effect To Agricultural Economic Development And The Value Evaluation Of Human Capital In Agricultural Science And Technology

Rural development is influencing the overall process of future social and economic development of China. In the past three decades, under the dual pressure of population growth and the reduction of cultivated area, China's agriculture has achieved a significant shift from a serious shortage of agricultural products to the balance of supply and demand, even to the surplus in good harvest years. These brilliant achievements greatly depended on the agricultural science and technology, which fit the modern human capital theory very well: Human capital has become the "First Capital" beyond physical capital and financial capital. In agricultural development, agricultural science and technology human capital in the agricultural economy development is playing a pivotal role.Combining the present studies about human capital theory and value theory under the system framework of human capital in agricultural science and technology, this paper studies the effect on agricultural economic development and the value evaluation of human capital in agricultural science and technology. First of all, the econometric model of human capital in agricultural science and technology on agriculture economic development is built, and the empirical analysis is adopted to analyze the advancement of economic development due to human capital in agricultural science and technology with the data from Shandong statistical yearbook. Second, the index system of value measurement of human capital in agricultural science and technology is offered base on value theory, and the quantitative research is made to research the human capital value in agricultural science and technology with the help of reliability evaluation method. Finally, the value maturity model of human capital in agricultural science and technology is proposed, and the classification and optimization of human capital value in agricultural science and technology is made according to the value maturity referring to the software maturity model. Generally speaking, there are four innovations in this paper as follows:Firstly, by analyzing and summarizing the current related arguments of human capital and its value theory at home abroad, this paper presents a framework theory of human capital in agricultural science and technology, analyzes the connotation of human capital in agricultural science and technology and its value, and distinguishes their concepts, makes the classifications and the feature; with the human capital value quantitative in agricultural science and technology as an entry point, this paper puts forward the framework theory and design ideas of the evaluation of human capital value in agricultural science and technology, and constructs the evaluation index system of human capital value in agricultural science and technology .Secondly, based on a general principle that human capital promotes economic growth, and considering the current endogenous economic growth model of human capital, this paper constructs a production function model of effective labor inputs and the econometrics model of human capital in agricultural science and technology. This paper constructs a Vector autoregression(VAR) model of the time series of Shandong agricultural economic value addition, physical capital investment and human capital in science and technology from 1987 to 2008, and verifies that human capital in agricultural science and technology promotes agricultural economic development.Thirdly, this paper proposes a new method into the value evaluation field of human capital in agricultural science and technology by introducing the reliability evaluation method, and achieves an organic combination of the reliability theory and the value evaluation of human capital in agricultural science and technology. Thus, it can provide the quantitative basis for the value evaluation of human capital in agricultural science and technology and provide certain referential value in the evaluation of the practical performance of human capital in agricultural science and technology.Fourthly, this paper puts forward a evaluation maturity model of human capital in agricultural science and technology which has five grades according to the capability maturity theory and by taking the practical situation of value evaluation of human capital in agricultural science and technology into consideration. Based on the results of evaluation of human capital in agricultural science and technology obtained through reliability evaluation method, the paper carry out gradation on the value evaluation of human capital in agricultural science and technology according to the results of the evaluation and obtains the direct evaluation results of the value of human capital in agricultural science and technology. Besides, guided by the"gradual improvement"principle of the maturity model theory, this paper provides an entirely new and practical method to enhance the maturity grades of the value of human capital in agricultural science and technology in order to enhance the value of human capital in agricultural science and technology.