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Research On The Transition Of Economic Growth Pattern In Zhejiang

Posted on:2009-03-22Degree:DoctorType:Dissertation
Country:ChinaCandidate:L T CuiFull Text:PDF
GTID:1119360275999127Subject:Statistics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
Since reform and openness , Zhejiang's economy has make great progress, and has become one important engine of fast Chinese economy growth, regardless of from longitudinal rate of growth, or the crosswise domestic comparison, as well as the constitutive of product up grating, Zhejiang's economic development may be called typical representative of Chinese economic growth miracle. But the long-standing extension economic growth way restricts the Zhejiang's economic development quality, its typical characteristic is the industrial structure unreasonable, the product scale and the added value is also very low, lacks the innate brand and the core competitiveness, causes the economic society developing incompletely, uncoordinated, yet difficult to continue.Economic growth is fairly unbalanced although Zhejiang's economic development level is higher, the regional disparity, industry difference and city and countryside gap are still expanding unceasingly.The development level of developed region such as Hangzhou , Ningbo may catch up with Europe like developed countries; The development level of less developed area such as Lishui, Quzhou City is similarity with our country's western part. Zhejiang's social development and economic growth are uninsisting, social development stagnates gravely late than economic growth. Public utilities such as educational, medical treatment is so weak that it is difficult to satisfy the needs of people's unceasingly increased material culture and cultural lives. School,Housing, curing are still restricting Zhejiang's economy sustainable development. Besides, the Zhejiang society cause of the public good has also developed imbalance , public products such as high grade resources of education and medical treatment resource is centered on large and medium-sized cities , more extensive population rural area is short of high grade resources in education and medical treatment resource , this further aggravated the gap between city and countryside ,and has enhanced degree of difficulty for planning city and countryside's development and harmonizing regional development. Although Zhejiang has founded relatively perfect social security system already in the whole nation, the social security system is unable to achieve that all essential needs are met, the guarantee level do not realize the full -amount ensures, the gap between city and countryside, enterprise and institution is very big, have unable to transfer in and out in whole province range. Economic growth and the social development interacted as both cause and effect, aggravating area difference, and blocking economy society coordinated growth.The gap of economic growth is so big as to aggravate the gap of the assignment, as a result, the way of consuming droved economic growth type is difficult to take form. Too dependent on investment and exporter to drive economic growth for resolving employment may arouse the inflation and overheated economy. To keep macro-economy and price stable, carrying out the policy of deflation is sure to bring about pressure to economic growth and employment. Therefore, currently economic development type is unsustable.Currently Zhejiang economic development is puzzled by trade friction, Renminbi revaluation pressure, it also restricted by the rising production cost, the shortage of resources and the national economy's contraction policy, the traditional competitive advantage has not existed, and the traditional economic development way is multiple restricted by resources, environment and macroeconomic situation. In this case, how to maintain the leading development position continue, realizes entering into the comprehensive affluent society goal early becomes the important theory question and the vital realistic question which needs to be solved urgently. In fact, the above problem among Zhejiang economic developmentexists long term, extends all over the whole nation in economic growth. Earlyin the 1980's ,the Central Committee of the Party have put forward the policy :optimizing structure ,and improving beneficial .In the 1990's mediumterm ,central authority have put forward the appealing for transferringeconomic development pattern changing mode of economic growth formallyin the Long-Range objective and the ninth five-year plan. The SixteenthNational Congress has brought forward grand goal building an overallwell-to-do society in last 20 years this century. On the eves of theSeventeenth National Congress , General Secretary Hu Jin Tao have adoptedsignificant decision of changing economic growth way on June 25 , 2007 onhigh-grade the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China Partyschool class for further studies. The nature of Changing economic growthtype is that to walk along the way of new industrialization, that is to say,development must be with high technology content, good economic effect,low resources consumption, little environmental pollution, full playing theadvantage of human resources. The new road to industrialization requires thathuman being and the nature is harmonious to get along with; developing hightechnology industry largely , spurring conventional industry on with IT,organizing clean production and circulation production, realizing conventional industry changing to modern industry step by step ; using the advantage of human resources fully make person get all-round development in economic growth, which demands to develop education greatly , all the people share achievement of development, develops energetically, and improve the entire nation's cultural educational level.This paper utilizes the economic growth theory and scientific development concept, takes 1990-2006 year's statistical data as the basis, the method unifies the method of the qualitative analysis, quantitative analysis, canonical parse and the empirical analysis; according to the logic of proposing question, anglicizing the question ,and solving the question, studies the transformation question of Zhejiang economic growth pattern thoroughly. Full text together is made up of four parts; they are foreword, text, conclusion and postscript part.In the foreword part, the author introduces the situation of Zhejiang's economic growth in last 30 years, appraises the mass of Zhejiang economic growth, which have been maken progress in generally. Zhejiang's economic growth lies in the front row of the whole nation. Looking from GDP, Zhejiang has already entered into the all-round well-to-do society stage , but the develop mass still has bigger distance with the target of building all-round well-to-do society and walking along new road to industrialization ,the cost of developing are too expensive to keep all-round coordination continuing developing at high speed. The paper also points out if Zhejiang wants to continue walking in front row in development of the days to come, it must change economic developing pattern, walk new road of environment friendship, resource economy, society harmony, all-round development, yet sustainable development.Text is divided into six chapters; the first chapter introduces the background and meaning of paper, pointes out the necessity and inevitability of Zhejiang changing economic development pattern as well as current development situation. It also introduces the status on available research, points out the discipline field, research method, content, difficult point and innovative place of the thesis.The second chapter analyses difference and connection between economic growth and economic development as well as the pattern of economic growth and economic development, explains the importance of Zhejiang's changing economic growth pattern currently. According to the connotation of economic development pattern and the contribution size of key element, the author classifies the Zhejiang's economic pattern, clearly shows the effort direction and means of Zhejiang changing economic growth pattern. Third chapter retrospect to the general situation of Zhejiang's economic growth, analyses the reason why Zhejiang's economic growth has make so great development sustain sly from net export, investment and consumption , points out that this pattern of economic growth has inharmonious , difficult persistence characteristic. Taking Solow model as analytical framework, calculates the contribution size of the material capital, labor force, human capital, international trade to economic growth. It also analyses the formation cause of present economic growth pattern from high pollution and slow technical innovation aspectsThe fourth chapter sets forth the significance and method of synthetically appraising the pattern of economic development ,sets up the judgment standards and concrete index system on appraising the pattern of economic development .By using statistical data from 1990 till 2006, the author also comparative analyses the status of economic development pattern between Zhejiang and whole nation .The fifth chapter studies the necessity of Zhejiang changing the pattern of economic development, points out the favorable and restriction factors on Zhejiang's changing the pattern of economic development, and puts forward author's policy proposal to transforming the economic development pattern.The part of conclusion and prospect briefly retrospect the main conclusion of the paper, points out the deficiency among the paper, clearly shows the field needed to study further in the days to come...The part of postscript explains the cause of selecting this topic, and expresses the author's thanks to those who has offered helps to paper writingThe main innovation of the paper lies on: puts forward the idea of changing the pattern of education, science and technology , pointes out the current pattern of economic development is the result of government , enterprise and the resident's behavior interactive , inspects the impact of R&D action , human capital , foreign trade , industry and denationalization factor on economic growth, analyses the sources of Zhejiang's economic growth, structures the index system of monitoring the pattern of economic development and set up the standard on judging the pattern of economic development; By using the AHP fuzzy synthetically judgment method , points out the pattern of Zhejiang's economic development . With the help of superior economic growth theory, game theory, and the match model, the author analyses the formational mechanism of the Zhejiang's present extensive economic development pattern, at the same time, analyses the necessity of transformation economic development pattern, and puts forward the author's policy proposal to transforming the pattern of economic development.
Keywords/Search Tags:Economic Development Pattern, Transition, Quantitative analysis, AHP Comprehensive Appreciation, Policy Suggestion
PDF Full Text Request
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