Research Of Inner Mongolia Coal Enterprises Competitiveness In The Evaluation And Applied Based On The Combination Forecasting

Among all of the disposable energy consumption, the consumption of coal takesthe most essential position. Because the Inner Mongolia Autonomo us Region is one ofthe provinces in which have the most sufficient coal resources, the discovery andproduction of the coal take the extremely important status not only in the developmentof local economy but also in medium and long-term economic development. Thus ithas very important realistic meaning to accurately predict the yield and price of coaland to evaluate the core competence of the company, so as to enhance the ability ofcoal companies.Based on the traditional methods of prediction, this dissertation takes somecompound method of Gray Intensity Prediction, Markov Prediction, Entropy WeightTheory and Nonlinear Theory etc. to predict the yield of coal resources, such as themetabolism grey Markov model based on entropy, nonlinear regression modified greyMarkov model, and use these methods to empirically predict the coal yield of InnerMongolia Autonomous. Compared with the traditional prediction methods, thosemethods we mentioned above have high veracity in short and medium term.By analyzing the forming mechanism of coal price, this dissertation puts forwardtwo reasons of the coal price forming: cost structures, supply and demand relation; Itanalyzes the different conditions and evolution trends of coal price under differentmarket structures by using economics, management and complex system theory. Thisdissertation also puts forward four influencing factors: resources, policies, technologyand social economics, and does the nonlinear system dynamic analysis for the pricemechanism. Based on the analysis above, we do some researches for the coal pricingstrategy.As for the coal and electricity price problem, this dissertation does somerelative research about coal-electricity price linkage mechanism.Based on theconclusions which have good practical value,we make the proposal for coal marketprice,the construction of coal futures market and the sustainable development of coalindustry.This dissertation put forward important factors, that is seven sub-systems for thefirst time which can affect the coal enterprise’s competitiveness: resource, enterpriseculture, labor, technology, information, security and marketing sub-system, have anresearch on the complex mechanism model and its mechanism, then analyse the interrelationship and the influence to the core competitiveness of the enterprises. Thisdissertation puts forward the valuation method of coal production enterprise’s corecompetence which is based on the FAHP-grey theory, and used the certain method todo some empirical analysis on WuHaicoal enterprise’s core competence.This study is of significance not only in theory but in practice as well, and it isimportant things to take reference for medium and long-term development of coalenterprise in Inner Mongolia.