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Essays on term structure models of interest rat

Posted on:1999-10-19Degree:Ph.DType:Dissertation
University:Duke UniversityCandidate:Wang, YapingFull Text:PDF
GTID:1469390014470651Subject:Finance
Abstract/Summary:
This document consists of two essays on the term structure models of interest rates. The first one is "Persistent Stochastic Volatility of Interest Rate Data: Long Memory or Short Memory?" The second one is "Nonparametric Plug-in Estimation of Derivative Price Models.".;The first essay is an empirical paper. Stochastic volatility is very important in financial theory and practice. In this paper. I use both the heuristic long memory analysis tools and the model-based investigation to check whether the persistence of interest rate volatility is due to long memory. I find that a stochastic process with a highly persistent mean can generate a highly persistent, long-memory-like, stochastic volatility through the levels effect, and this persistence generated by the levels effect is more prominent than the persistence of the autonomous long memory process.;The second essay is a theoretical paper. In this paper, I propose a new method to estimate a term structure model of interest rates. Using the derivative price observations to estimate a model is a very important problem. In the literature, we see nonlinear least squares regression based on numerically solving the partial differential equation. In this paper, I manipulate the PDE to get the unknown parameter as a function of the derivative price function, then nonparametrically estimate the price function and substitute it into the parameter function to get the parameter estimator. In this way, I do not need to solve the PDE. Using this method, I can also estimate the functional form of the underlying asset process. In this paper, I use this method to develop a nonparametric estimator of a one-dimensional instantaneous rate process through the observation of bond trading prices.
Keywords/Search Tags:Term structure, Interest, Models, Rate, Long memory, Stochastic, Price, Process
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