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Testing predictability of asset return

Posted on:2015-01-16Degree:Ph.DType:Dissertation
University:The University of North Carolina at CharlotteCandidate:Wu, LiFull Text:PDF
GTID:1479390017997591Subject:Statistics
Abstract/Summary:
In this paper, a L2 type nonparametric test is developed to test a specific nonlinear parametric regression model with near-integrated regressors. The asymptotic distributions of the proposed test statistic under both null and alternative hypotheses are established. The finite sample performance is also examined by conducting Monte Carlo simulation. The test statistic is applied to testing the linear prediction model of asset return and the predictability of asset return is shown at last.
Keywords/Search Tags:Asset return
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