The Research Of The Supply Side Reform And Development Path Of Cotton Production In Xinjiang

Since 2014,Xinjiang began to implement the reform of cotton target price.This policy has perfected the formation mechanism of the cotton market price and promoted the production of cotton to Xinjiang.It is an important attempt of the supply side reform of the cotton field in China,and also an important practice of the agricultural supply side reform.Cotton target price subsidy policy is an important embodiment of China's agricultural supply side reform,and its implementation effect is related to the survival and development of all aspects of the cotton industry chain.Cotton target price subsidy policy is an important measure to adjust and optimize the layout of cotton industry,and also an important means to build a market mechanism under the state's macroeconomic regulation and control.This paper focuses on the core requirements of the supply side reform to analyze the following questions: from the macro level,what impact does the cotton target price reform have on the overall cotton production in China and Xinjiang? Under the guidance of cotton target price,has there been any change in cotton distribution in different regions of Xinjiang? What is the impact of cotton supply side reform on cotton quality in Xinjiang? How should we continue to deepen the supply side reform in the future? From microcosmic perspective,what are the changes in planting behavior and planting willingness of cotton farmers under different policies? Can farmers' production efficiency and production cost be changed by the scale of production under the new policy environment? Based on the above problems,this paper studies three aspects: layout change,policy effect and development path.The layout of cotton production in Xinjiang has been changed after the implementation of the supply side reform in the cotton field.After the implementation of the cotton target price reform policy,the layout of cotton production has changed due to the comparative advantages of different regions.By comparing the advantages of agriculture in various regions,using the spatial measurement model to analyze the factors affecting the cotton area in Xinjiang,explore the reason of cotton production layout change.In order to analyze the implementation effect of cotton target price subsidy policy,this paper mainly analyzes the three aspects of cotton quality,farmers' behavior,farmers' production cost and efficiency.In terms of quality,the changes in the quality of cotton before and after the implementation of the cotton target price policy,the main factors affecting the quality of cotton and the influence of different organizational forms on the quality of cotton under the advance of the supply side reform were studied.Through the data analysis of field survey,the factors affecting farmers' expansion of planting scale and the use of mechanized picking are used to understand the effect of cotton supply side reform on Farmers' behavior,farmers' production and efficiency.Based on the above research,the following conclusions can be drawn.The influence of cotton production supply side reform on the distribution of cotton production is mainly manifested in the withdrawal of cotton sub suitable cotton area.The change of cotton planting area is mainly determined by the comparative income of cotton and other crops in various regions.In the empirical analysis of the influence factors of cotton area change by space measurement model,it is found that non-agricultural employment opportunities also have great influence on the distribution of cotton production.Cotton Subsidy Policy,per capita cultivated land area,unit area mechanical ownership and agricultural labor force have significant positive impact on the local cotton production scale.The implementation of cotton target price subsidy policy has a positive effect on cotton area,and the spatial interaction effect between counties plays a very significant role in the distribution of cotton production.There are differences in farmers' willingness to grow and planting behavior under the background of supply side reform of cotton production.On the whole,farmers' willingness to continue planting is higher.Most farmers still choose to continue planting cotton,and most farmers have higher demand for insurance.Under the background of supply side reform of cotton production,the production efficiency of farmers of different sizes is different.It is found that the change of cotton distribution on the supply side reform is related to the household production efficiency,while the planting cost and production efficiency of farmers with different planting scales are different.Through the comparison,it is found that with the expansion of farmers' planting scale,the output and productivity of the unit area will increase gradually,the mechanical operation rate will increase gradually,while the input of chemical fertilizer and film is increased,the investment of pesticide and seed will be reduced,and the marginal cost of agricultural medicine and seed will decrease after the expansion of farmers' planting scale,and Scientific production can save material inputs such as pesticides and fertilizers.After the implementation of the supply side reform of cotton production,the quality of Xinjiang cotton has been greatly improved.In order to improve the quality of cotton,it is necessary for the government to give more technical training to farmers,or to organize local cooperatives and guide farmers to join,to help farmers to produce better,and to improve the quality of local cotton.The different organizational structure has a great influence on the quality of cotton.The more mature cooperative cases show that the collective production and management of small farmers through the development of cooperatives can provide more scientific management and technical support to farmers and develop large-scale production.Using the collective form of cooperatives to purchase large machinery for leasing,unified cotton varieties,unified sowing,unified management,unified harvesting,and unified sale of cotton,can greatly reduce the cost of cotton production and management risk,stabilize the purchase price and production quality of cotton.The challenges brought by the supply side reform to Xinjiang cotton mainly focus on two aspects: quality and efficiency.In terms of quality,it is necessary to make a rational distribution of cotton production.In the rational distribution process of cotton production,Xinjiang cotton production needs to be further concentrated in high quality cotton areas,which requires that the cotton supply side need to reflect scientific,mechanized,intelligent and intensive production methods.In terms of efficiency,the management subject of different planting scale should be considered separately.In the long period of cotton production,standardized production and intensive development will obviously improve the efficiency of cotton production.It can be effectively promoted through specialized division of labor and innovative organization management to transform the production advantage into industrial advantage.The cotton industry in Xinjiang has developed well.To sum up,under the background of agricultural supply side reform,the practical effect of Xinjiang cotton production supply side reform in the field of cotton production in Xinjiang is obvious.The main manifestations are: the cotton planting in Xinjiang is gradually concentrated in the cotton production area,the farmers' willingness to plant cotton is relatively stable,the efficiency of production is improved,and the quality of cotton is obviously improved.Therefore,for Xinjiang,we can further optimize the practical effect of the cotton production supply side reform from the following aspects,which including: promoting the rational distribution of cotton production through intensive development,paying attention to ensuring the basic income of cotton planting farmers,and promoting the mechanization and intelligent hair of cotton production in Xinjiang with the aim of improving production efficiency,encouraging cotton production to moderate scale operation,promoting cotton production standardization,improving cotton quality,promoting industrial integration and form industrial chain.