| At present,China's rural areas are in a critical period of poverty alleviation in poverty-stricken areas,agricultural supply-side structural reforms,and the development and expansion of the collective share-holding economy in villages.In-depth discussions on the technological progress of agricultural product processing industries and accelerating the development of agricultural product processing industries will consolidate the key achievements in poverty alleviation and achieve the strategic goals of rural revitalization.Has a certain positive meaning.This article takes the agricultural product processing industry FDI technology spillover as the research object.Based on the basic assumption that the introduction of agricultural product processing industry FDI may promote the learning of local agricultural product processing enterprises and improve the performance of local enterprises,the answer is based on the analysis: China's agricultural product processing industry FDI technology spillover changes over time What is it? What factors affect the speed of overflow? It aims to reveal the dynamic process of FDI technology spillover in China's agricultural product processing industry and the overall influencing factor framework,so as to better optimize the investment in China's agricultural product processing industry and accelerate the learning speed of China's agricultural product processing enterprises.1.This paper applies FDI technology spillover,organizational learning,technology catch-up,time compression uneconomic,"learning by doing",technology diffusion and other theoretical knowledge,using China's industrial enterprise database,China patent database and a large number of statistical data to provide a good analysis of China's agricultural product processing industry.The dynamic process of FDI technology spillover and the overall influencing factors are studied.The main research content includes the following parts:(1)Literature and theoretical analysis.This part mainly reviews the FDI theory and investigates the related literature of FDI technology spillover.This article first defines the basic concept of FDI technology spillover and reviews its important theoretical basis.Then,literature research is carried out on the mechanism of FDI technology spillover,empirical evidence of FDI technology spillover,FDI research in agriculture,especially the research on FDI technology spillover effects in the agricultural product processing industry,and then the perspective selection,theoretical elaboration,method selection,Provide sufficient literature support for innovation and condensing.On this basis,this article constructs an overall theoretical analysis framework of the time effects and influencing factors of FDI technology spillover.The existing literature mainly put forward the mechanism of FDI technology spillover from a static perspective,answering whether FDI technology spillover exists,and does not involve the time issue of FDI technology spillover.Therefore,on the one hand,this article expands the time dimension of the mechanism of FDI technology spillover,and on the other hand,draws on various theoretical perspectives such as organizational learning,technology catch-up,uneconomic time compression,"learning by doing",technology diffusion,and other theoretical perspectives to influence the time effect of FDI technology spillover Make theoretical derivations.This paper further constructs an overall framework model that affects the time effect of FDI technology spillover from the dimensions of opportunity,motivation and ability,selects two representative influencing factors for in-depth analysis,and demonstrates in detail their mechanism of the time effect and speed of FDI technology spillover.(2)Describe the situation of China's agricultural product processing industry and FDI investment,and initially explore the relationship between them.Based on statistical data,describe the development of China's agricultural product processing industry and the current situation,development trends,characteristics,etc.of the use of FDI,and establish a quantification of the development of agricultural product processing industry on macroeconomic development,agricultural product processing industry FDI and agricultural product processing industry development at the macro level relationship.(3)Main data and methods of empirical research.It mainly includes data source and cleaning,as well as data matching work,and around the verification of the theoretical derivation of this research,model construction,sample selection,variable measurement,etc.are carried out.(4)Empirical results part.This part uses standardized empirical analysis methods to empirically test the theoretical analysis models of FDI technology spillover time effect,spillover speed and influencing factors proposed in this article,and uses a variety of analysis methods to deal with the robustness and endogenousness of the research conclusions.Ensure the reliability and robustness of research conclusions.2.This paper conducts research based on the logical idea of "discovering problems-analyzing problems-solving problems",and the research conclusions show that:(1)From a theoretical point of view,the FDI technology spillover of the agricultural product processing industry has a time effect.Agro-industry FDI technology spillover will have an impact on China's agricultural product processing enterprises with the length of time it enters China.The time when agricultural product processing industry FDI enters China is positively correlated with the technology spillovers obtained by China's agricultural product processing enterprises.However,as time changes,the technological spillovers that China's agricultural product processing companies can obtain will also decrease,showing a gradual weakening development trend.(2)The factors that affect the time effect of FDI technology spillover in the agricultural product processing industry can be incorporated into an overall "opportunity-motivation-capability" analysis framework.Opportunity,motivation and learning ability interact together to affect the time of FDI technology spillover.China's agricultural product processing companies must first have the opportunity to learn FDI technology and management experience before they can quickly learn advanced technology and management of FDI in the agricultural product processing industry.However,this opportunity cannot be directly translated into the good performance and production efficiency of local companies.Local companies are needed.Proactively seek and use this opportunity,and it depends on the learning motivation of local companies.Finally,given the opportunity and motivation to learn,local companies also need the ability to learn to implement learning.FDI technology overflow can only occur when all three are available,and the learning speed and FDI technology overflow will accelerate.(3)China's agricultural product processing industry has achieved rapid development in the past 20 years,and the industrial development has shown an uneven development trend in sub-sectors and regions.The average growth rate of TFP in the agricultural product processing industry from 1999 to 2017 was 4.18%.The agricultural product processing industry has a strong driving force on the economy.For every 1% increase in the total output value of the agricultural product processing industry,the value added to the primary industry and the total output value of the agriculture,forestry,animal husbandry and fishery services And employment increased by 5.81%,5.93% and 1.87% respectively.From the perspective of the utilization of foreign capital in the agricultural product processing industry,the number and investment scale of China's agricultural product processing industry FDI enterprises are generally on the rise,and the agricultural product processing industry and regions are also unevenly distributed,mainly in the textile industry and the eastern coastal provinces..From the perspective of the co-integration relationship between the FDI used by the agricultural product processing industry and its technological progress,the use of FDI by the agricultural product processing industry is the reason for the growth of the industry's TFP,and the growth of TFP does not necessarily lead to an increase in the use of foreign investment by the agricultural product processing industry.The impact of the use of FDI by the agricultural product processing industry on TFP has gradually increased over time.After a lag of five periods,about 20% of the changes in the TFP of the agricultural product processing industry come from the use of foreign direct investment.In addition,the analysis of variance shows that for every additional unit of FDI used by the agricultural product processing industry,the sales income,exports and employment of the agricultural product processing industry increase by 35.5%,10.5% and 31.7% respectively.(4)The entry time of FDI in the agricultural product processing industry is directly proportional to the technological spillover obtained by China's agricultural product processing enterprises.However,as the entry time of FDI increases,the marginal rate of return of this positive effect shows a decreasing trend.Among them,the technological spillover rate of agricultural product processing industry FDI from western developed countries is faster than that of FDI from Hong Kong,Macao and Taiwan agricultural product processing industries.The paced entry of agricultural product processing industry FDI is faster than the unpaced technological spillover,but it does not regulate the forward agricultural product processing industry.The role of FDI entry time.Private enterprises are faster than state-owned enterprises in obtaining technology spillovers from FDI in the agricultural product processing industry,and factor market distortions negatively adjust the impact of FDI entry time on technology spillover speed,but do not adjust the impact of forward FDI entry time on technology spillover speed.The technological distance between China's agricultural product processing enterprises and the agricultural product processing industry FDI enterprises positively regulates the FDI technology spillover speed of the agricultural product processing industry,and the geographical distance negatively regulates the agricultural product processing industry FDI technology spillover speed.3.Possible innovations:(1)Innovation of research perspective.From the general situation of FDI research,traditional FDI research mostly adopts static,cross-sectional,and instantaneous perspectives to study the technology spillover effects of FDI.This article examines the time dimension of FDI technology spillover,that is,the dynamic perspective,and takes China's agricultural product processing industry as the industry background.(2)Innovation of research content.First,this article re-explains the mechanism of FDI technology spillover from the perspective of time dimension,and uses multiple theoretical perspectives to enrich the theoretical basis of the time effect of FDI technology spillover.Secondly,build a complete and systematic framework for FDI influencing factors to enhance the internal logic and industry and regional relevance between influencing factors,and thereby greatly expand the connotation,breadth and depth of existing FDI technology spillover factors.Finally,in addition to discussing spillover effects within the industry,this article will also consider the issue of spillover time effects between industries,which is also a category that has been seldom covered by existing research.(3)Innovation in research methods.This paper adopts micro-enterprises as the sample observation objects,overcomes the homogeneity assumptions of macro-level and industry-level research on enterprises,and can introduce more heterogeneous characteristics of enterprises,so that the research conclusions are closer to the main body of enterprise decision-making,and more Effective policy recommendations.At the same time,a variety of methods are introduced in the research to deal with endogenous problems to ensure more robust and reliable estimation results.Finally,for the measurement of agricultural enterprise performance,both total enterprise output value and innovation performance indicators will be used.This approach not only follows the tradition of FDI research,but also reflects the actual needs of enterprise innovation under the current innovative national strategy,and also ensures that this research can provide richer and more targeted policy recommendations. |
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