Study On The Influencing Factors Of Carbon Emission And The Threshold Effect Of Carbon Emission Reduction In China

Global climate change is an important proposition for the sustainable development of human beings. Most scholars believe that the carbon emissions caused by energy consumption is an important factor in global climate change, and human activity is the key factor to increase carbon emissions, tourism is no exception.Research shows that tourism activities involved in the "food, housing, transportation,travel, shopping, entertainment," the six links need to consume energy, and its impact on climate change in the resulting carbon emissions enough to "tourism is low energy consumption, low pollution industries" this traditional thinking form strong impact. At present, our country has made it clear to the "greenhouse gas emissions in 2020 unit of GDP in 2005 on the basis of reduce 40% and" carbon dioxide emissions per unit of gross domestic product in the the People’s Republic of China national economy and social development in the twelfth five years plan "period reduce 17% of the two binding targets. In addition, for the tourism industry to deal with the problem of carbon emissions, the State Council "on accelerating the development of the tourism industry views" mentioned, promote energy saving and environmental protection, the implementation of energy-saving, water-saving and emission reduction projects,advocate low carbon Tourism; China is also in the declaration of the 2022 Winter Olympics put forward "the construction of low carbon Olympic area". Therefore, how to coordinate the outstanding contradiction between the carbon emission and tourism development has become a problem to be solved urgently in the government department and the academic circles.This paper to the overall level of our country and under the jurisdiction of the eastern, central and western regions, for example, in the analysis of existing tourism carbon emissions based on the existing literature, from the three aspects of accounting for the total, the influence factors and the potential of energy saving and emission reduction in 2005- 2014 in the 10 years of China’s overall level and under the jurisdiction of the eastern, central and western region tourism carbon emissions are estimated and analyzed, and some conclusions. This thesis is composed of 7 chapters.The main research contents are as follows:(1) the first chapter is the introduction. Mainly introduces the thesis of the overall level of our country and under the jurisdiction of the background and significance of East, middle and West Tourism Research on carbon emissions, and a detaileddescription of the writing process involved in research contents, technical route,,innovations and intends to solve the key problems.(2) the second chapter: literature review. The research content involves three aspects: first of all, with the help of computer construct "shared processing platform for domestic and foreign literature for processing, in order to obtain tourism carbon emissions of key words appeared in" frequency "and" common occurrence "two major statistical indicators; secondly, the" degree in mind "and" close to the center of "the two major indicators of analysis of key words of preliminary data analysis; finally,according to the" co occurrence "indexes of keywords co word matrix, through social network analysis to the domestic and foreign low carbon Tourism Research keywords for visual processing. In order to go abroad and low carbon Tourism Cluster class group knowledge map. After the analysis of the relevant literature at home and abroad through the above three steps,highlighting the theoretical significance of the research.(3) the relevant concepts and theories of the third chapter. First, the tourism increase value and tourism value added, differentiates and analyses the tourism carbon emissions and tourism carbon emissions, and defines the tourism carbon emissions measurement range and object; secondly, the required theoretical guidance in the process of research and analysis.(4) the fourth chapter of China’s tourism carbon emissions accounting and its evolution characteristics. In addition to Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan and Tibet,the other 30 province panel data basis, in the overall level of accounting in our country and under the jurisdiction of the eastern, central and western regions from2005 to 2014 the 10 years tourism carbon emissions based, from the feature of the total amount, intensity distribution and decoupling index of China’s overall level and under the jurisdiction of the eastern, central and western region tourism carbon emissions with temporal and spatial distribution of industry distribution were analyzed, and that the overall level of our country and under the jurisdiction of the East, and west area tourism carbon emissions in the temporal and spatial distribution and industry distribution both on.(5) the fifth chapter of China’s tourism carbon emission impact factor and its co integration test. Using the logarithmic mean Divisia index decomposition method(LMDI) "tourism carbon emissions impact factor decomposition for economies of scale factor(TIE), reception passengers factor(P), five industry structure factor(TIS),energy efficiency factor(TEI), energy structure factor(TES) that influence factor andin the big five factors were factor co integration test, error correction model, Granger causality test based on the decomposition obtains five influence factors of the overall level of our country and under the jurisdiction of the eastern, central and western region tourism carbon emissions with utility.(6) the sixth chapter of China’s tourism carbon emission reduction potential measurement and its threshold effect. In recognition of the economic scale factor(TIE), received visitors(P), the industry factor structure factor(TIS), energy efficiency factor(TEI), the energy structure factor(TES) of the five impact factors of tourism carbon emissions with utility based on our proven overall level and under the jurisdiction of the East, middle and west tourism carbon emissions from energy performance; at the same time, get the potential of energy saving and emission reduction potential based on the tourism potential of carbon emission reduction calculation model, determine the overall level of our country and regional tourism carbon emission reduction potential in eastern central and Western influence factor,and the description of the influence factor of tourism carbon emission reduction potential to make further quantitative threshold effect model, the the threshold effect factor have potential in energy conservation and emission reduction potential and to determine the threshold interval.(7) the conclusion and discussion of the seventh chapter. According to the research that related to the conclusion of the study; and from the reasonable adjustment of economies of scale, improve the efficiency of resource allocation ""deepen the existing industrial structure, promote industrial transformation and upgrading of the "energy-saving emission reduction technology innovation, improve energy utilization efficiency" "optimizing the energy consumption structure, increase the supply of clean energy" "the concept of low carbon tourist, tourist guide and low carbon tourism put forward China’s overall level and under the jurisdiction of the East,and west tourism carbon emission reduction countermeasure and the suggestion.Finally, the main research content of this thesis is summarized, and the deficiencies of the research are summarized, and the future research prospects are put forward.According to the 3 chapter, the fifth chapter and the sixth chapter, this thesis draws the following conclusions:(1) of tourism carbon emissions year after year become normal development, the East High and west low become normal development; tourism carbon emissions intensity, decreasing year by year has become the trend of development, high in theWest and low in the east to become normal development. At the same time, the state incentives, festive events and activities has significant stimulating effect, and lead to a sharp rise in tourism carbon emissions intensity; energy saving and environmental protection policy, the sudden natural disaster has significant control effect, and lead to tourism carbon emissions intensity dropped significantly. These changes make the tourism industry carbon emissions in the anti crisis cycle process showed "V" type fluctuations, and in 2006, 2009 and 2013, the formation of tourism carbon emissions growth inflection point.(2) in terms of the overall level of our country and under the jurisdiction of the district level, economies of scale factor(TIE), reception passengers factor(P) for incremental factor, industry structure factor(TISi) energy efficiency factor(TEIi)energy structure factor(TESij) performance decrement factor. In addition, incremental factor caused by incremental utility by regional economic level has a positive effect on, incentive policy and festive events and activities in the country has amplification effect, in under the influence of energy-saving emission reduction policies and sudden natural disasters showed reduced effect. However, decrement factor induced reduction effect by the level of regional economy negative effect and the incentive policy and festive events and activities of the national show reduced effect, in under the influence of energy-saving emission reduction policies and sudden natural disasters has amplification effect.(3) for tourism carbon emissions energy performance, the nation presents inverted "U", the eastern region has increased year by year, the central and western regions showed "N" type; for carbon emission and energy conservation potential of tourism, the nation presents "U" type, the eastern region showed decreasing year by year, the central and western regions show an inverted "N"; for the carbon emission reduction potential of tourism, the nation presents "U" type, the eastern region showed decreasing year by year, the central and western regions show an inverted "N". At the same time, energy-saving emission reduction targets and the global financial crisis on the potential of energy saving and emission reduction potential is significantly reduced utility, national incentive policies and festive events on the potential of energy saving and emission reduction potential is significant incremental utility.