The Research Of Forecasting Measure About Short-term Power System Load In Shengli Oil Field

The accurate forecast of the electricity load has the very tremendous influence for the electrical network economy and the safe operation, enhancement the accuracy of forecast also can have the direct economic efficiency, it specially reduces the electricity generation cost in the very great degree. At present, method of forecast the electricity load has very many kinds, both has traditional the forecast method, also has the short-term power load forecast method which each kind newly proposed in the last few years, in the actual use, their accuracy of forecast and the practical application effect is different, directly interfered with this work widely to develop. One kind method of inquired about suited the local power load characteristic and the high accuracy short-term power load forecast has already become the duty, which had to complete for all levels of electrical industries control section.Electricity load type and characteristic in the Shengli oil field had investigated through the present paper, the gray theory forecast model suits the local electrical network characteristic had picked out from many short-terms power load forecast method, at the same time, power load of the oil field short-term has forecasted the through the improvement gray forecast model, it had achieved the quite satisfactory effect, for electric power control section in the Shengli oil field, which has to provide the science basis to cany of the electrical network the production scheduling.