Dynamic Price Evaluation And Investment Benefit Analysis Of Larix Olgensis Plantation

With the development of the market economy, forestry as an important component of national economy is stepping into the key stage of reform and development. How to combine cultivation of forestry resources with market platform to realize marketization of forestry become an focus for the society. In order to realize marketization of cultivation of forestry resources, the investment enterprises must participate. But how much profit is there in the cultivation of forestry on earth? Could the investment enterprises obtain the satisfactory market reciprocate profits? How do evaluate the forest price of each period and let standing wood enter market ahead of time, shorten rearing period of forest from the economics, and activate the trade market of wood property?In order to answer these questions, we evaluate the forest price and analyze the profit of different stand age of Larix Olgensis distributing in the Northeast area extensively. The plantation have 7 site grade and 3 planting density (2500, 3300 and 4400 each ha). After get the timber output of different age stages, then evaluate the wood market income price and cost price, and analyze the average annual earning ratio of investment of different wood, last propose the regulation measures for the all kinds of production regions of Larix Olgensis.The result show: (1) With decline of site grade, market income price and cost price of stand which have same planting density gradually fall.The higher stand age, the bigger diversity of stand price of different site grade; With increase of planting density, market income price and cost price of stand which have same site grade gradually enhance. The assessment of young stand price should adopt method of the intending volume of timber or method of cost expenses , and near ripe stand and ripe stand had better adopt method of market income; (2) Under present expenses of taxation level, the investment enterprises can profit, but average annual earning ratio was significant lower than average annual income of national debt in site grade I — II, and can not take back cost of education in site grade III-VII. In case of no land rent, the investment enterprises can profit, but average annual earning ratio was significant lower than average annual income of national debt in site grade I ~V, and can not take back cost of education in site grade VI -VII; (3) There was not super profit of investment in the cultivation of Larix Olgensis, under present expenses of taxation level, average annual earning ratio of the investment enterprises was significant lower than average annual income of national debt. It was impossible to set up base of fast-growing Timber plantation of Larix Olgensis relying on the market strength. In order to realize marketizationof cultivation of forestry resources, except that the land was used freely, all kind of the taxation policy should be adjusted in big scope.