Automotive industry is a kind of skill concentrated industry. It has scale intensified,hige attached value and strong connecting power.Chinese automotive industry as a whole is still growing, it is 15~20 years backward compared with developed industry countries. Saloon car manufacturing is especially immature.China's entrance into World Trade Organization (WTO) will bring chances and risks to automobile industry in China.How to eliminate the risks and grasp the chances turns to be one of the most important theoretical and practical issues.Considering tariff concession and china's economy,following a multielement-synchronizing forecasting model,this paper prediction china's automobile market after WTO entry.In term of the analyse of the market demand ^ structure ^ behavior, puts forward the impact of the WTO entry on China's automobile industry by qualitative means.In line with China's WTO protocol ,this paper devotes to a quantitative analysis of the impact of China's entry into the WTO on its economy,following a "computable general equilibrium (CGE) model".According to the impact of China's entry into WTO,this paper puts forward countermeasures and suggestions.This paper bring forth some new ideas in forecasting market demand and quantitatively analyzing of impact of the WTO entry on China's automobile industry by CGE model.
|