The Study On Raising Funds Prediction Of Water Transportation Corporations

Water shipment corporations are as funds concentrated company with the characters of great investment payout period long, high management risk. As a result, it is of great significance to enhance emphasized the effect of raising money of water shipping corporation for reducing the finance and management risk to ensure the developing well and continuously. In the plan economics period, policymaker were usually fond of raising money greedily and detailed without considering cost and benefit and made investing and circulating funds repeated and lower benefit even negative benefit, which leaded to the current result of income falling short of expenditure and accumulated debts and an inferior using effect of society funds. Now most of the water shipping corporations in our country has less benefit and heavy burden, which includes some causes, but main one is blindly investing and circulating funds with competitive investment and scale. It is summarized that the water shipping corporations must develop following market economics law and raising funds must do according to the principle of keeping expenditures within the limits of income. The policymaker should estimate water transportation amounts of the future transportation market, as the basis of which they should make the scientific raising funds prediction.The true aim of prediction is helpful for changing. Raising funds prediction ^ production prediction and other prediction are all not very accurate. It seems to lead to inaccurate plan, which makes no sense to prediction and plan. In fact, it is not that, because prediction can reveal us all possible prospects and make us carry out relevant plans. Predictions and plans are courses of beyond thinking, whose result is not only a data of the amounts funs demanded but also understanding and thinking of future possible prospects. Prediction can enhance corporations the reaction abilities to the uncertain affairs and decrease the loss of the disadvantage affairs and increase profits of making use of advantage opportunities.The traditional logistics transportation amounts prediction ways mainly indicate liner regression and time sequence model. It indicates the necessity of using neural network and analyses above three ways application, which points out that it is more reasonable of applying neural network than others in the unstable period of our country economics structure regulating with the example of the water shipping corporations of Shandong province. But the method has the shortcomings of lowerexplanation and complex operation. When our country economics lies in the good stage, applying time sequence model can satisfy the demand of prediction precision.At the basis of transportation amounts prediction, it further studies the prediction ways of raising funds, and with the characters of main fixed property demanding funds not needing prediction every year because of its using period longer, it emphatically studies the fixed quantity methods of raising liquid funds-increasing rate and transportation income percentage and regression analysis and neural network. With the calculation and contrast, it indicates that the methods of increasing rate and regression analysis and neural network are applicable in doing the actual work and analyses respectively their advantages and disadvantage. Learned from others' strong points to offset one's weakness among above three ways, the final value of liquid funds occupied takes the mean of above three outcomes predicted.