The Study On Current Real Estate Investment Risk In China

Since the use right of the land were auctioned in Shen Zhen on Dec, 1 in 1987, it were declared that the real estate industry regenerated. Since then the real estate industry in China has gone through several phases: slow increase, rapid increase, dulling and recovery. Real estate investment risk was undulant with respective phases. So we urgently demand to analyze and forecast the present condition and vary trend of real estate investment risk at the moment, and in practice an especially applied theory method to analyze it quantitatively and qualitatively. It is very important in practice that we do some works on real estate investment risk.This article starts on the discernment and analysis of real estate investment risk, and analyzes and forecasts the present condition and vary trend of real estate investment risk at the moment with macroscopic direction. In this article using emphatically real estate prosperity exponent and many statistics data, we analyze and predict rationally the real estate investment risk. As a result we know that the total situation of real estate investment risk at present in China isgood, and the real estate industry has great developmental potentiality, but the real estate investment is excessive in some region.With microcosmic direction we analyze the real estate investment. In this article we firstly puts forward and discusses the quantitative analysis of real estate investment systematic risk and earnings with the investment economics theory and the probability and mathematical statistics method, secondly puts and discusses the quantitative analysis of real estate investment nonsystematic risk and earnings with Monte Carlo method and the probability and mathematical statistics method, finally discusses the quantitative analysis of real estate investment total risk and earnings with the probability and mathematical statistics method. Furthermore, we discuss the contrastive method to many real estate investment projects' investment risk and illustrate it.Referring to the raising funds risk, we discuss some sides in which the risk is easy to come into being in real estate business loan. Furthermore, in this article we focus to discuss the avoiding measure to all kinds of risk. So we analyze systematically the real estate investment risk.I hope this research could promote the study on real estate investment risk, and give an impetus to innovate the study on real estate investment risk theoretically and practically.