The Research And Analysis Of Shanghai Real Estate Forecast System

With the deepening of economic reform, the real estate has got considerable development as the basic and guiding industry of national economy, have produced enormous push and influence to the society and economic development. Especially after entering the 1990s, the development of Chinese real estate advanced by leaps and bounds, suddenlied become new growth engines. But meanwhile, the real estate development of China including Shanghai faces many problems. The solution to these problems is not merely to realize the need that the real estate develops continuously healthily, the needs of industrial structure adjustment and optimizing and social economic sustainable development that realize at the same time. Considering real estate market a strong regional one , this article regards development of the real estate market of Shanghai as the research object, and construct a predicition system that adapt to real estate market, especially adapt to Shanghai real estate market. Through determining qualitative and quantitative analysis of various kinds of influence factors correlated with the real estate market of Shanghai, we classify these factors.Then we use artificial neural network integrated system with these classified data to make a real example analysis to Shanghai real estate market. Then we predict its future tendency to offer reference for the steady development of health of the real estate market.The first part of this text proceeds from the history evolution of the real estate market of Shanghai and existing problem, explain Shanghai market this line of question especially fluctuation of real estate , real estate of evolution give socio-economic development and health , real estate of market, danger brought in steady development, Therefore explain and structure the systematic importance of market prediction of the real estate. The second part proceed from rudimentary knowledge , real estate cycle , theory that the real estate fluctuates of the real estate market, analyse that explain to the relevant influence factors of real estatetheoretically , the data collecting relevant factors use the means of counting to classify these relevant factors, draw several main influence factors in close relation with real estate market. The third part Based on artificial neural network, optimize through such relevant supplementary means as the hereditary algorithm , fuzzy mathematics ,etc, it suits the real estate market prediction system of Shanghai, thus the tendency has been predicted to the future of real estate market of Shanghai and analysis to set up. At last, we analysis the future tendency of Shanghai real estate market through the expert questionnaire. And the result is close to the forecasting data.