Economic Evaluation Model And Analysis On The DSM In Tai Yuan District

Demand-Side Management is an advanced method of management to improve the electric resources' efficiency. An effective DSM is favorable to all the partners of the electric markets. With the high economic development of the Tai Yuan district, the contradictory between the electric supply and the demand is increasing prominent. The successful experiences of the overseas and our country show that it is necessary for the Tai Yuan district to implement the DSM.Introducing the application of DSM and analyzing the use of electricity in Tai Yuan district, this paper forecasts the electric use of this district for several years using Gray Forecasting Method and points out the necessity of application of DSM for Tai Yuan district. Then the paper appraises the benefits and the costs of the DSM in Tai Yuan using an appraising method considering the uncertain factors. The results show that this method is more suitable for the Tai Yuan district's realities and can reduce the implementing risks. It also points out that it is necessary to build an encouraging mechanism to drive the grid to implement DSM actively, and provides some suggestions.