Risk Analysis And Countermeasures On The Foreign Trade Of Textile Goods

In this article,firstly the background of the textile trade conflicts within Sino-Us or Sino-Euro are introduced,thus learn that how to discern and dodge the foreign trade risks, how to choose the appropriate investment projects have already become one of the most important questions for exporting companies on foreign trade affairs well-known as high investment and high risk.So the main text makes a risk analysis qualitatively and quantitatively on a textile-exporting trading company from three angles of statistic,game theory and portfolio theory,which is the main content that we studied.Firstly,the statistic article adopts data of the transaction closing price of the textile clothing index in Shenzhen stock exchange at the end of each quarter as well as several other kinds of data reflecting the macro-economic changes,performs an empirical analysis of these data according to the theory of co-integration test,Granger cause test and impulse response function of time series in Economitric,and learn that the impact to TI is more obvious by the economic index reflecting local commodity price level and economic prosperity degree home and abroad,as well as the impact degree and the time lag degree,and knows the macro-economic risks faced by textile business enterprises;After that by the game theory angle we analyze exactly the managing risks faced by one textile export corporation named Beauty.From the game expansion chart the system arrangement between censor ways by exportation goal countries and exporting strategies by the exporting enterprises has been analyzed.Involving the benefit assignment between them both the limited rounds and infinite rounds negotiations of cooperation games have been studied,and then country responsibility and the enterprise managing risks on foreign trade affairs and so on have been analyzed exactly;In order to realize the investment multiplication in the certain degree to disperse the risk,the...