Power Load Forecast Of 10kV Grid Based On ARIMA In Hohhot Area

Load forecasting is a modern power system engineering science and an important part of the development is the development of power system planning and operation of an important basis for the plan. Load forecasting is also reasonable to raise funds to determine an important basis for energy balance. A reasonable and accurate load forecasting, power system planning is one of the core issues, is planning to carry out the prerequisite and basis.Based on the analysis of the region Hohhot load of historical data, according to the regional distribution network Hohhot, the status quo and development trend of the future power grid, Hohhot through economic development and the basic electricity demand analysis, as well as society as a whole over the years and the maximum power consumption load analysis, the application of ARIMA forecasting method made Hohhot, the region's largest and the total electricity load forecast.Through the history data about the future of regression and planning of simulation models predict the result, the model can be tonaled, you may as well to network development, updating, and for future development tendency to science, dynamic predictions.