Economic Growth Model Based On Zhongyuan And Its Theoretical Analysis

Scholars and experts all over the world have focused on the study on economic growth and its application for a long time. Because economic growth guides prosperity and slump of a country's economy and is closely related to people's daily life.However, an economic model and the qualitative and quantitative analysis is necessary to develop the economy rapidly and stably, which provides a theoretical baking for making a scientific and rational economic decision, and plays an important and direct role in controlling the economic growth macroscopically.The purpose of this paper is to apply the time series analysis to the GDP of Henan Province at different stages based on available data, and establishes the time-series models, and predict the GDP of Henan Province in the next eight years with the establishded time-series model . And then we evaluates on the overall competitiveness of Zhongyuan region with the multivariate statistical methods by comparing economic status of Zhongyuan with the economic status of others'regions, and find out the relations between Zhongyuan's GDP and the national GDP. Finally, we analyze the three major industries of Zhongyuan and give some conclusions and advicese for the economic growth.This paper is divided into five chapters. The first chapter introduces the research content of this article, and the status of relevant research at home and abroad. The second chapter gives some of the professional knowledge that will be used in this paper.In the third chapter a time-series model for the GDP of Zhongyuan is established. The GDP of Zhongyuan in the next eight years is predicted. In the chapter IV, by using statistical methods we make further economic analysis to the economy of Zhongyuan. In the chapter V, acording to the fomer given results of the analysis we draw some conclusions and put forward some suggestions for the Zhongyuan's economic growth.