Study On The Risk Appraisal Of Project Financing In Infrastructure Construction On The Basis Of Influence Diagrams

The project financing is a developing financing way that regarded the assets after the project budded up as the main guaranty, and the project's future cash flow as the main source for payment of debts, It involved multitudinous factors, such as, composition of investment, pattern of raising funds, methods of controlling the risk, and so on, Accompany with many risks, but it also has some opportunities, Investors were attracted to take part in it, but they also hang suspended in the air because of the loss arousing by risks,Project financing is very popular applying in foreign countries, and the risk management plays an important role in the mode of project financing, By distinguishing the risks, evaluating and controlling the risks during the first period, people analysis them, draw up the plan regarded the risk management, and record them in relational files conveniently using in other projects, But in our country, the mode of project financing develop lately and it is very imperfect,So commencing on the basis and course the financing risk producing, we investigated the systematic structure of risk and analyzed the deficiency of methods now used on function of the risk, Then explored the application of influence diagram in the evaluation system,Secondly, around how to integrate project risk factors and interaction of financing agreement into appraisal, and how to provide platform for summarizing the knowledge of expert's, We made an introduction and appraisal of the existing theory and practice on risk appraisal, and put forward that the influence diagram is the suitable method for risk differentiating and appraisal,Soon afterwards, the way of resolving the financing influence diagram, applying influences diagram into risk appraisal, will contribute to improving the depth of differentiating and analyze of the risk factors, and grasp the inherent change law of the factors, The other hand, use influence diagram to reflect the effect mechanisms between project risk, financing agreement and its risk, and to make a emulation of risk system,In order to make easy to comprehension, takes "The fourth line of the subway in Beijing" project financing as an example, demonstrated the application course of influence diagram on concrete project financing,...