Research On High-Tech Enterprises Strategic Risk Management System Model And Forecasting

In recent years, the Hi-tech industry has got rapidly development in the world, while, the competitions among countries all over the world have focused on the High-tech industry which is supported by the High-tech enterprises, and the High-tech industry has become the engine of the global economy and on the leading-ship position in the global economic development. With the development of the intelligent economy, the economic form based on creation, propagation and application of knowledge becomes the mainstream of global economic development. As a result, High-tech enterprises also get considerable development. On the ground of all those understandings, through using synthesizing analysis and key analysis, quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis, and also some modern computer emulation technology synthetically, the paper gets some conclusion which useful to china High-tech enterprises, especially, to the High-tech enterprises strategic risk managementThe contents of thesis are the high-tech enterprises strategic risk management system model and strategic risk forecasting. Based on strategic management theory, strategic risk management theory, strategic risk forecasting theory and System Dynamics (SD) theory, we discern the influencing factor of high-tech enterprises strategic risk from inner and outside two aspects, use multilevel fuzzy comprehensive evaluations and PEST measures etc., analyze the factors which influence the high-tech enterprises strategic risk on corporation itself and strategic environment, and through analysesing and discerning, it finds that the internal factor is the key point which causes the strategic risk. The thesis takes use of system dynamics emulating the High-tech enterprises strategic risk management process with an emphasis on, and simulates the variation condition of High-tech enterprises strategic risk management system relevant factor under the great variation of strategic environment, on the base of utilizing relevant conclusion discerned of the High-tech enterprises strategic risk management. It should put great attention on coordinating corporate internal factor with strategic environment of High-tech enterprises strategic risk management after system emulation, and build LearningOrganization with the help of risk think in order to enhance corporation capability. Through the relevant conclusion of systematic emulation, the thesis constructs the High-tech enterprises strategic risk management forecasting system which will offer the useful reference to High-tech enterprises strategic risk forecasting, which uses the forecasting theory. Finally, the thesis examines the High-tech enterprises strategic risk management and strategic risk forecasting system of risk through using the case.The main contribution of the article is to introduce the System Dynamics theory into the High-tech enterprises strategic risk management, and offer a new way for resolving the High-tech enterprises strategic risk management. The biggest characteristic of the model is dynamic and systematic thinking and observation, and offers more accurate and overall reference for the strategic decision of High-tech enterprises.