Research On The Assessment Of Impact Of Highway Construction In Hailar-Manzhouli On The Border Trade In Inner Mongolia Region

With the economic development, the foreign trade volume increased significantly. China's economic ties with other countries in the world more closer, trade volume growing year after year especially with the neighboring areas. Since 2000, the trade frequently has a significant growth in total exports between China and Russia. Sino-Russian border trade mainly concentrated in the Chinese northeastern region, mainly in Heilongjiang Province and the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region. Inner Mongolia to the Russian border trade ports are Manzhouli Port, black mountain port and Shiwei port. Sino-Russian border trade mainly concentrated in the country's northeastern region, mainly in Heilongjiang Province and the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region.Hailar - Manzhouli highway construction -- to promote the development of China's border trade and has played a tremendous economic prosperity promoting role. World Bank loans in Inner Mongolia for the Chinese government to transport (and trade facilities), the purpose is to create an adequate transport infrastructure to promote the development of Sino-Russian border trade and transport development to meet potential needs of Hulunbeier. To pursue this objective, the study demonstrated to help promote the development of bilateral border trade potential measures. These measures include the development of the necessary infrastructure and the road network between the two countries to speed up the transport of goods, trade and use of these facilities for trade development.Manzhouli Port is one of China's largest inland port and is main trade route to Russia and Mongolia. The construction of Hailar -Manzhouli improve road transport, improve the flow of goods plays a vital role in the speed. The study of transport infrastructure can analysis transport infrastructure construction and demonstration of the growth of trade relations. About 60% of the border trade between China and Russia through Manzhouli, the main entrance as bilateral trade, Manzhouli has become China's second largest international inland port,the foreign trade volume increased year by year to improve our country's import and export cargo. The significant increase of traffic volume increasing demands on transportation infrastructure, only the transportation infrastructure continue to improve. Import and export trade to ensure the smooth flow of traffic and reduce transport costs.Based on the economic function of border trade, analysis the impact of highway construction projects on regional economic development. Highway transportation to the nature of his position in the national economy and social life, in a regional context, A proposed highway projects in the construction of two factors : One driver, into the political, economic, transport, and the other was primarily on geography. Hailar - Manzhouli highway construction is to meet the needs of the regional economic development.Many scholars in our country and abroad specialized studies on the relationship between transportation and regional economic development. Analysis the effects of highway construction on the development of border trade through the study on highway construction projects and regional economic development. Border trade was largely dependent on the development of the logistics industry. The logistics industry is accompanied by the improvement of the road network and the development and development of the transport of goods.Recognizing that transportation and logistics industry, as well as regional economic development and the promotion of relations between the impact, Traffic analysis for the construction of the project and then the economic development, it is not difficult to discover. border trade is an important manifestation of the increasing volume of import and export. is the value of cross border crossings to the continuous increase in volume. In other words, lines of the stores create conditions for the development, and to promote professional market and strong commodity center formation.Based on the study on the index of the completion of Hailar - Manzhouli highway construction, analysis the highway technical level, traffic capacity and services content etc. Using time series prediction method analysis Manzhouli Port's import and export trade volume. Manzhouli highway border crossings and cross border passenger traffic volume forecast for the future development trend. Research Manzhouli port cargo and passenger traffic, analysis of the Manzhouli Port railway transport capacity has nearly saturated state, Naturally, some of the rail freight traffic diverted onto highway transportation.In this paper, through time series analysis and forecasting methods of Manzhouli Port's import and export trade volume. Manzhouli highway border and the volume of cross border passenger traffic for the future development trend forecast. Time series generally reflect the objective observation of the phenomenon and the value of these values belong to the time two basic elements, can be divided into absolute time sequence, relatively few time series and averages time series, absolute time series is divided into time sequence and timing sequence. Time series analysis method based on time series analysis of the level and speed of analysis, by calculating the volume growth, the pace of development and growth analysis of a series of indicators to achieve the objective analysis.By forecasting results, the growth in trade with the Manzhouli port. Manzhouli Highway total cross-boundary passenger and freight volume has increased. Hailar and Manzhouli highway construction can meet the import and export of passenger and cargo traffic growth China to promote the development of border trade.