| Under the background of the economic,finance globalization and integration advances gradually,the economic connections of all countries is becoming more and more close. At the time of promoting the economy common development, it also broadens the spread the financial crisis and deepens the bad influence.As the main body of the financial system, the fragility of the banking system infulences derectly the stability of financial system.After joining in WTO, our country has been cancelling the restrictions to foreign banks.Especailly, after five-year adjustment period, the fragile banking system will face rigorous chanllenge.If we don't take measures to protect the banking system, the possibility that its collapses will increase.The state-owned commercail banks are the main body of our country's finacial system. Weather it runs steadily or not is related to the whole financial system's development and stabilization.This thesis take the state-owned commercial banks system as research object. The whole thesis is divided into five chapters:The first chapter is the introduction.It mainly introduces the background, signigicance and research method of the thesis, as well as briefly introduce the structure of the thesis ,the possible innovations and shortage.The second chapter mainly introduce the connotation of the fragility of the banking system and other close correlation definitions,as well as literature summary.The third and fouth chapters are the main parts of the thesis.The third chapter analysis the overall condition and main cause of the state-owned cmmercial banks system.And the next chapter sets up a set of more complete index system which is used to calculate the degree of fragility of the state-owned commercail banks system,and making a quantifiable analysis of the fragility of the system from 1986 to 2005 with factor analysis model,then figuring out the index of the recent twenty years.The last chapter proposes some corresponding policies based analysis above. |
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