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Annuities Under A Kind Of Random Rates Of Interest

Posted on:2010-10-16Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:X M GuFull Text:PDF
GTID:2189360275970055Subject:Probability and statistics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
In the traditional annuity, it was mostly supposed that the interest is permenant in order to simplify the calculate. Therefore, life insurance is the economic performance of a long period of time. Many facts, such as policy of government, economic circles, can cause the uncertainty of interest during the time of insurance. Thus, the research and calculation of life insurance under the random interest is focused these years.In this paper, wo focused on the annuity under random interest, and do the research of two kinds of models of interest, calculate the expected accumulated value of the annuity under the two assumptions. Suppose interest perform as the stochastic process ik = ik-1k or it = (1+ηt)it-1, where is the interest of kth year and represent the stochastic variant of a certain distribution. Wo discussed both models and got the fomular of expected accumulated value. In addition, under the AR(1) model, we dispersed the state space and did many numerical work. At last, we use amounts of historical data to check the veracity of the models.
Keywords/Search Tags:Economic mathematics, annuity, accumulated value, stochastic interest, Markov process
PDF Full Text Request
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