Measure The Vulnerability Of China's Bank System Under International Financial Crisis And Enlightment To Macroeconomic Control Of The Central Bank

In 2007, the United States took place a loan crisis, crisis along the funds chain was continuously worsen, becoming a global financial turmoil.See from the influence of the crisis upon the our country bank system, although have a part of financing institutions of the oversea businesses the foreign currency is be subjected to by calculating clean property of direct lose limited, the economic decline of the United States cause the our country need decrease outside, the real economy level appears a decline, the risk of the indirect conversion formation financing institution.On the other hand, Euro-American all countries government,central bank cooperate, adopting the direct salvage and quantity to turn to loosen monetary policy etc. measure, reply financial crisis' impact for the our country economy and finance, these policy at promote its economy recovery of in the meantime, arouse global property price to soar, pass rate of exchange,import and export etc. conduct an outlet, adjusting to control formation pressure towards including China at inside of newly arisen market national macro view.This text takes the content of the bank system flimsiness as point of departure, the mobility risk of the choice,believe the loan risk and the rate of exchange risk three types of representative's index signs of the token bank systems, set up the degree of the month index number to measure the our country bank system flimsiness, analyze since 2001 of the our country bank system weak sex variety and the central bank macro view adjust to control of correspond a choice.Conduction mechanism combined a current international financial crisis of basis the bank system flimsiness to pound at to the our country, select by examinations to be subjected to obvious foreign economic index sign of international financial crisis influence, change the reaction parameter model while set up, analyze a current international financial crisis the impact effect of the bank system flimsiness to the our country, put forward how under the premise that carry out a macro view to adjust to control a main target avoid an our country the suggestion of the bank system weak sex risk enlargement.This topic with the bank system weak sex content for point of departure, select by examinations the savings growth rate to wait three types of 11 cores to measure index sign, from the mobility risk,the letter loan risk and the rate of exchange risk angle of view, set up to have the time limited efficacy bank system flimsiness more to measure index number, according to break out at present of international financial crisis and the central bank macro view adjust to control background, passing the history examination and the dynamic state estimate, draw lessons from adjust to control a policy through the years of gain and loss and the Europe and America central bank adjust to control experience, for central bank the macroscopic policy adjust to provide the reference the basis.One is make use of a modern to calculate economic analysis the software set up of the analytical model contribute to sieving to contribute to measuring the bank system flimsiness from the economic financial index sign of[with] numerous and complicated complications of core index sign, depict dissimilarity hour order of weak sex degree.Two is make use of the system economics theories and the analysis angle of view, study macroscopic adjusts to control the influence that the policy pounds at and exterior to the bank system flimsiness through the years;The exterior pounded at model to adjust to control decision to provide for the macro view the data prognosticate index sign in advance.Three is set up smooth area system of weak sex index number to transfer the model and self-help to draw samples an estimate, the policy adjust to control time window way while contributing to understanding and controling monetary policy to adjust to control the conduction of the weak sex function to the bank system.Four is emphasize the close concern"finance stability" target, tally up the currency supply quantity and believe a loan to measure of adjust and control principle and operation way of thinking, for Be guaranteeing a current macro view to adjust to control main keynote of target how under constant circumstance eliminate the solution letter loan risk, put forward can operate a strong policy suggestion.This text a part introduced to choose a background and meaning,academic innovation and application value,the structure arrangement.The second part first to currently local bank the weak sex theories carried on simple introduction, immediately after with the bank system weak sex content for point of departure, choose mobility risk and believe the loan risk and the rate of exchange risk three types of representative's index signs of the token bank systems, set up the month degree index number to measure an our country the bank system flimsiness.The third part concretely introduced the bank system weak sex core index sign system and Chinese bank system weak sex index number to set up.Four-part ship separately to use the history data weak sex index number to set up to carry on an examination to the Chinese bank system, thus and further analytical financial crisis to the impact effect of the our country bank system flimsiness, and will an estimate and judgment in the future to the bank system flimsiness.The fifth part tallied up a financial crisis in detail to the impact effect of the our country bank system flimsiness to the apocalypse that the National Central Bank macro view adjusts to control.