The paper gives a systematic summarization of the latest theory and application advances. Research the core module of the decision-making system of the UCAV, the situation assessment and threat estimate system .the essence of each concept is analyzed carefully, and related formulae linking these concepts are proven. New rules to deal with situation assessment and threat estimate are given. Some approaches of situation assessment and threat estimate are summed up. Secondly, study the scientific research of tactics decision-making system in UCAU, and it's research direction. To make sure that the cut-in point of the research is to use the Bayesian net in the arithmetic model of situation assessment and threat estimate. Because the situation assessment and threat estimate is the core content of tactics decision-making system in UCAU, and it is multiplicity and complex, we have a lot of difficulties to make a system model with high reliability. So, on the base of research work, we made some improvement and confirmed an effective fuse arithmetic model to settle down this type of problem.Finally, the software was made, in the VC program environment, about the emulation mode of combine the situation assessment and threat estimate with the Bayesian net. Proof the validity of the emiuator by a lot of instances at the end. |