The Stock Market Forecast And Analysis System

Stock was born more than 300 years ago.Though there are more classical stock investment theories,those theories which apply morden arich to analyze the stock market with date triumplantly cannot be seen usually.This paper combination:the system engineering theories,the stock certificate investment theories,the statistics theories,the western economics theories.and the finance accounting theories,independence to bring up:the method of the coefficient change of the frame of reference,the energy theories of the stock market.And excerpt the analysis method of expectation-effect. I hope these stock market estimate and analysis method which may be more straightforward,practically,accurately and full than those past stock investment theories,can be provided as a more newer analysis tool for people of the stock market.This paper concentrrates on two cardinal points to expand as following: 1 .the frame of reference;a stock market/stock-the reference guide line(1) the essence of the method of the coefficient change of the frame of reference:By compering with the change of price relations of the reference guide line which bears correlatitivity to the reference guide line.according to the using laws of the method of the coefficient change of the frame of reference to determinant or forecast the price change trdends of the stock market. (2) the forecast way of driven-dynamic:When we forecast a stock market we must find out a dynamic reference guide line To forecast a stochastic event,we must analyse it with the ways of the statistics theories form commencing the correlatitivity event,so that we can forecast the stock market.(3)the theories of the frame of reference:Basis on the origiual theories of the frame of reference,using the method of the statistics theories to find the frame of reference,and estimate and verify the value of the coefficient change of the frame of reference on the higherthan a kite reliablityjn the end find the market risk.2.the energy theory:(1)the connection of supply and demand:The connection of supply and demand of a stock decide the price(P) whichcircumfuse the value(M) to fluctuate up and down.-This is signality to study thenumerical value of P / M ,this reflects how much investment value of a stock.(2) conservation of energy of market;The chage of inside energy of a stock equal to the reverse chage of exterior energy.(3)the energy law of stock:Everyday near the baraining over, the chage of inside energy and exterior energy of a stock achieve equilibria.The chage of potential energy location and kinetic energy location of astock one day become corresponding.