| In Our country, the economic develops with high speed .The paper firstly studied the necessity of adopting BOT mode. Reviewed the research of BOT mode, risk management and BOT risks. Then, studied the present condition to commence from the domestic and international BOT, and analyzed the current shortage of the valuation BOT mode risk of the system. When evaluating the BOT mode risks, from the perspective of investor of BOT project and the stage of BOT, this paper used the methods of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation and discriminant analysis, by using questionnaire and expert interview to ascertain the risks, abstracted BOT Comprehensive Evaluation Model and BOT Risk Stages Discriminate Model. Through solid example analysis, proved the models can properly evaluate the risks of BOT and were well fitted with the real BOT projects of our country.BOT risks fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model is designed for investors evaluate the comprehensive risks of BOT projects in the prophase, to help investors improve the correctness of invest decisions. BOT risks discriminant model is designed for investor to discover the critical stage which the risks are pooled, to help manage the risks. |
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