| Oil resource is the main guarantee energy of the development of our national economy, and its relationship between supply and demand, fleet capacity are the main factors of national oil shipping market'development. Therefore, studying the relationship between supply and demand and the price trend is crucial for owners and investors of oil shipping market to grasp the dynamic of oil shipping market and make the right decisions. This paper analyzed the current situation of China's oil shipping market from the qualitative point of view and used the quantitative method to study the development trend of China's oil shipping market. This thesis was structured as follows:Firstly, it started with a brief analysis of global oil shipping market and then basically analyzed its overview, supply, demand, and capacity state. Then it qualitatively investigated the development of global oil shipping market, and its main factors influencing the safety of the market.Secondly, it reviewed the development of China's oil shipping market from three aspects in detail. After analyzing the production, consumption and transportation of China's oil market, this paper introduced the grey forecasting model that suits to predict the demand of our oil shipping market. Then, it applied the grey forecasting model to predict the demand of our domestic coal shipping market. At last, the price trend of our domestic coal shipping market was studied qualitatively. Besides, it generalized the primary features of our domestic coal shipping market.Thirdly, it studied the future development of China's Tanker fleet size from qualitative and quantitative point of view. After analyzing the current situation of China's oil fleet, the capacity of our oil fleet was studied qualitatively. This could provide support for China's tanker fleet planning.Finally, the general conclusions of the thesis were presented. Limitations and development direction of this paper were pointed out. |
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